It’s a 4 ace slate today on FanDuel and we have to figure out which one we want to play in cash. Let’s see how the numbers compare:Aaron Nola - 26.3% K, 7.2% BB 3.34 xFIPMax Scherzer - 34.5% K, 5.5% BB, 2.96 xFIPCorey Kluber - 25.6% K, 5% BB, 3.4 xFIPJacob deGrom - 32.9% K, 5.9% BB, 2.68 xFIPObviously Scherzer and deGrom are the best pitchers of the group, but how do their matchups compare?Tigers (vs Nola) - 26.6% K, 8.6% BB, .138 ISO Cardinals (vs Scherzer) - 21.3% K, 9.2% BB, .191 ISOMarlins (vs Kluber) - 27.5% K, 7.1% BB, .110 ISOReds (vs deGrom) - 23.9% K, 8.2% BB, .164 ISOThe best pitcher of the group gets the worst matchup, and the worst pitcher gets the best matchup (for the purposes of this exercise, because this is DFS and we care about strikeouts). Power is way up this year, and Scherzer has a propensity to give up bombs. He also has the worst matchup, and costs the most, so he’s not my cash game pitcher. Jacob deGrom is the next best pitcher, but the Reds have some pop and they don’t strike out as much as the Marlins or Tigers. Especially this year, we want to target teams that have trouble hitting the ball out, and the two teams that really struggle with hitting for any kind of power are the Tigers and Marlins. The Tigers lose the DH from a team that already strikes out a lot and don’t hit for power, and the Marlins are the worst offensive team in the league and will swing at any pitch remotely near the plate. I would play the matchup and go with Kluber, since the Marlins are really bad. But, if you need the money to get to the studs you want to get to, I don’t have a problem with playing Nola at the $1,000 discount.
On to the picks...
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