Will Warriors hold off the feisty Blazers, laying 8-points at Oracle in game 1?
Golden State split the regular season series, straight up, ATS and to the over/under against Portland.
The Golden State Warriors partied like it was 2015, utilizing strength in numbers from their bench to the tune of a 118-113 road win to close out the Houston Rockets in six games.
Now the Warriors will face the Portland Trailblazers for a ticket to the NBA Finals. Here we discuss the odds and analysis for game one of the Western Conference Finals.
When: Tuesday May 14th, 2019 at 6:00pm PST
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
TV: ESPN
Line: Warriors -8, o/u 218.5
Injuries: Rodney Hood (knee) is questionable and Jusuf Nurkic (leg) is out for the Blazers.
DeMarcus Cousins (quadricep) is questionable, Kevin Durant (calf) and Damian Jones (pectoral) are out for the Warriors.
Portland Trailblazers
The Blazers leaned on a transcendent performance from CJ McCollum to overcome a nine-point half-time deficit to beat the Denver Nuggets on the road in the seventh game of an intense, back-and-forth series.
Portland is led by Damian Lillard with 29.8 points, 5.8 assists and 1.9 steals per game, Enes Kanter with 10.4 rebounds per game and Zach Collins with 1.4 blocks per game in the playoffs.
The Blazers are 51-42-1 against the spread (ATS), 49-43-2 to the over/under, 36-27 ATS with one day off, 31-28-1 ATS after a win, 12-18 ATS as an away underdog, 36-25-2 to the over/under on one day of rest, 30-28-2 to the over/under after a win and 13-17 to the over/under as an away underdog this season.
Portland has an offensive rating of 112.5, defensive rating of 111.4, pace factor of 96.1 and is 6-6 ATS, 7-5 to the over/under in the playoffs.
Golden State Warriors
Golden State will be making its fifth straight Western Conference Finals appearance starting Tuesday night, having won the last five.
The Warriors are led by Kevin Durant with 34.2 points per game, Draymond Green with 9.3 rebounds, 8.0 assists and 1.3 blocks per game and Klay Thompson with 1.4 steals per game in these playoffs.
The Dubs are 40-53-1 ATS, 46-48 to the over/under, 27-36-1 ATS after a win, 18-27-1 ATS as a home favorite, 12-12 ATS with 2-3 days of rest, 19-27 to the over/under as a home favorite, 13-11 to the over/under on 2-3 days of rest and 35-29 to the over/under after a win this season.
Golden State has an offensive rating of 118.0, defensive rating of 112.2, pace factor of 99.2 and are 5-7 ATS, 8-4 to the over/under in the playoffs.
Analysis
Four of their last five and six of the Warriors’ last eight games have gone over the total, and four of Portland’s last five and six of their last eight games have also finished over the number.
The last four times the Blazers faced the Warriors, each game finished over 219 total points, and we’ve locked in over 218 total points in game one of the 2019 Western Conference Finals and anticipate this total to rise as we move closer to tip.