How to Play the Mississippi State-Alabama Total

This Mississippi State-Alabama game is going to be a really exciting one. Alabama has been the class of the SEC during this regular season, and it’s a fascinating total because we’ve got a lot of Mississippi State unders over their past ten. The last two games they’ve played have gone to the over, but over the course of the season, both of these teams have been right around .500 when it comes to their over-under numbers.

The last time they played, the final score was Alabama 64-59, only 123 points comfortably hitting the under. Pregame the total at the FanDuel Sportsbook was at 147.5 but has come down to 142,  a 5.5-point adjustment on the total, just because of their previous meeting. That big-time adjustment is pretty interesting but not necessarily warranted to that degree. An Alabama game sitting at a total of 141 is not typically where you see an Alabama game posted. Maybe you can kind of zig and zag here and play this game to the over and hope that you’re making up some of the value on this big adjusted total.