Power Ranking Averages - Week 11 (5/19/22)

14 sites published, ratings do not include Wed. games.

14 sites published this week. The rankings below do NOT include games played on Wed. May 18th, they will be factored into wk 12. Sports Club Stats finally updated sparing them from the axe.

Sites Used

• Jeff Sagarin
• Five Thirty Eight (Proj. points)
• Who Scored
• ESPN
• Massey
• Sonny Moore Rankings
• MLS
• Verses Sports Simulator
• Simmons Ratings
• Freeborg Power Index
• MLS Network
• Betting Odds (avg. of mult. sites)
• Sports Club Stats
• Coach & Crew - No ranking wk 10-11.
• Waking the Red - No ranking wk 11.
• US Soccer Players (monthly) - No ranking wk 10-11.
• MLS Fantasy Boss

You may notice the inclusion of ‘analytic’ sites; they serve to function as a ‘control group’ to the rest which are based on personal opinions. There are also sites included that some will argue are ‘prediction rankings’ - but that also is a form of Power Ranking is (see the quote at the top) since it uses algorithms to calculate a team’s likely final position.

Bias for or against certain teams are sometimes an unfortunate feature of power rankings. It can be based on their analytic formula, or the raters preference. In some cases the bias can become extreme - If you feel a site got the ratings wrong for your team I invite you to contact them regarding it.

I will typically only remove sites for two reasons.

1. Duplicating / copying ratings from another source on the list.
2. Failure to update for 6 consecutive weeks. Previous ratings will not be removed, but new ones may or may not be added. I will still periodically check them to see if they have resumed.

All the averages use the Olympic method (I.E. Truncated Mean value) of dropping the highest and lowest scores, and then averaging the rest to reduce bias.

The full spreadsheeet is here.

• Highest Standard Deviation: Cincinnati FC 5.46
• Lowest Standard Deviation: New York Red Bulls 1.45
• Biggest Rise: Cincinnati FC up 5.
• Biggest Fall: Minnesota United down 7.
• New Lows: Chicago Fire (25th), Minnesota United (17th), Sporting Kansas City (27th)
• New Highs: FC Dallas (1st)

Site Bias

All sites are going to have bias, whether conscious (blogs) or due to analytic calculation (based on past performance). This section lets you see the extent that sites are biased for/against teams. Negative totals (-) are bias FOR, positive numbers (+) are bias AGAINST.

This bias list is based on Season Average and not weekly ranking.