Six weeks out, midterm atmospherics trend in right direction for Democrats

The same political atmospherics that fueled nearly a year of midterm doomsday predictions for Democrats continue to rebound nicely in Democrats' direction just six weeks out from the November election.

Biden's approvals

While President Joe Biden's approvals aren't stellar, they have definitely come back from the depths of the summer. The FiveThirtyEight aggregate of registered/likely voter polls puts Biden at 43.5% approval. Civiqs shows a similar upward trend with the president reaching 40% for the first time since roughly a year ago last September. (Note: the data is actually very close to the FiveThirtyEight aggregate because Civiqs shows 9% choosing neither approve/disapprove. If those respondents were forced to pick, it would likely land Biden within a point or so of 43.5% approval.)