Aston Villa vs Newcastle betting preview: odds and predictions
IF Aston Villa are serious title contenders, they’ll need to see off a Newcastle side who have struggled on the road on Tuesday night.
Quick betting tips for Aston Villa vs Newcastle
- Aston Villa to win – 87/100 with Spreadex
- Sean Longstaff to be carded – 9/2 with bet365
- Ezri Konsa 1+ shot – 11/10 with Sky Bet
Aston Villa vs Newcastle odds
Here are the latest match odds for Aston Villa vs Newcastle from our top-rated football bookies. Odds are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle betting preview
If you’d been told at the start of the season that one of these sides would be just five points off the top of the Premier League in late January, not too many would have picked Villa to be the team in question.
But that’s exactly where Unai Emery’s men sit ahead of this game with the Spaniard having done a simply superb job since arriving 15 months ago.
Their success has been firmly built on an outstanding home record. They’ve now won 16 of their last 17 home league games – and that’s bad news for Newcastle.
While the Magpies have shown their ability to challenge the very best at times this season – think how they destroyed PSG in the Champions League and pushed Manchester City to the limit recently – nearly all their best displays have come amid the comfort of St James’ Park.
They’ve lost seven of 10 on the road, conceding 22 goals in those matches.
Admittedly, Villa haven’t scored in either of their last two games, although an FA Cup draw at Chelsea and a league stalemate at Everton, who have kept the joint-most clean sheets in the top flight, are far from disastrous results.
Now back on home soil, where they’ve scored a league-high 29 home goals, expect them to return to winning ways – and they are a decent price to do so.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle key stats
- Villa have won 16 of their last 17 Premier League games at Villa Park, drawing the other.
- Newcastle have the second-worst away record in this season’s Premier League, picking up just five points from their 10 matches. They have lost their last four.
- Both sides are in the top five for yellows cards received in the top flight in 2023/24.
- Ollie Watkins has nine goal involvements (goals or assists) in his last eight PL home games.
- Villa still have Bertrand Traore at the Africa Cup of Nations, while doubts remain about Lucas Digne’s fitness. Newcastle’s injury list remains long; it includes Nick Pope, Joelinton and Joe Willock.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle best bets
Find our best bets for the Aston Villa vs Newcastle game below. Odds for the bets are provided by the best sportsbooks per our expert reviews. Odds in the bettings tips are subject to change.
Aston Villa to win
Villa’s strength at home contrasts markedly with Newcastle’s away form and so backing the hosts at around even money looks a good bet.
A home win has been the outcome in 16 of the last 17 Premier League games at Villa Park and with the in-form Ollie Watkins facing a Newcastle defence which has shipped 10 goals in their last three league outings, it’s not hard to envisage a repeat.
Newcastle have lost seven of their 10 PL away games and will do well to stop a Villa side still in title contention.
Back Villa to win at 87/100 with Spreadex
Sean Longstaff to be carded
This fixture features two of the most-carded teams in the league, while referee John Brooks isn’t shy of going to his pocket – he’s averaging 4.62 yellows per game and has produced four reds in his 13 games.
Plenty of players make appeal but the best value lies with Newcastle midfielder Longstaff, who has been carded in five of his 13 Premier League starts this season, including in three of his last six away games.
Stopping Villa in midfield will be key if Newcastle are to get anything from this game so Longstaff looks worth backing at 9/2.
Back Longstaff to be shown a card at 9/2 at bet365
Ezri Konsa 1+ shot
Konsa has landed this bet quite often this season, certainly more regularly than the odds suggest.
He’s currently on a run of having a shot in five of his last seven games, his output helped by the fact he’s played at right-back often, rather than at the heart of the defence.
This means that while Konsa remains a set-piece threat, he’s also getting forward more in open play.
Back Konsa 1+shot at 11/10 with Sky Bet
How to watch Aston Villa vs Newcastle
- Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England
- Time: 20:15 GMT on Tuesday, January 30
- Where to watch: TNT Sports
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