Abbreviated Pundit Roundup: Pundits are having trouble adjusting to 2024 election realities

Jonathan Martin/POLITICO:

Forget No Labels. Biden’s Third-Party Peril is on the Left.

Young Democrats find U.S. support for Netanyahu’s war effort is untenable, potentially costing the president millions of liberal votes.

Yet the collective Democratic fixation on No Labels increasingly looks misplaced — or at least disproportionate given how the 2024 political landscape is taking shape.

Jacobson seems to chase most every name that bubbles up in the news cycle ( just ask them). Yet she’ll be hard pressed to find the sort of well-known figure she needs to be viable because they want either to retain future prospects in their own party (Nikki Haley) or they don’t want to don the scarlet T in their future obituaries for having enabled Trump’s return. (Most every anti-Trump Republican plus Joe Manchin.)

Meanwhile, how many more polls do there have to be of Kennedy near double-digit votes in swing states before he’s taken seriously? And: how many Biden speeches must be shouted down until Democrats realize that a hot war in Gaza this fall may mean 30,000 fewer votes apiece in Madison, Dearborn and Ann Arbor and therefore the presidency?

It’s the left that presents the most acute peril to the president.

On the other hand, Jonathan Martin also wrote about Joe Biden’s Big New Hampshire Blunder, pushing Dean Phillips. Anyone remember New Hampshire? I think the Biden win was just last month (Biden won with 63% in a write in vote, Phillips couldn’t get to 20%.) And on Saturday, Biden took 96% of the South Carolina vote in the first official Democratic primary, while Phillips, who couldn’t get to 2%, finished third.

You decide who’s got their finger on the pulse, and who is throwing spaghetti against the wall to see what sticks.