PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund betting preview: odds and predictions
HAVING topped a tough pool in the group stage, Borussia Dortmund are favourites to see off PSV Eindhoven and reach the Champions League quarter-finals, but will it play out that way?
Quick betting tips for PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund
- Under 2.5 goals – 6/5 with Spreadex
- Donyell Malen to be carded – 13/2 with bet365
- Niclas Fullkrug first goalscorer – 13/2 with Sky Bet
PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund odds
Here are the latest match odds for PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund from our top-rated football bookies. Odds are subject to change.
PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund betting preview
Dortmund are slight favourites to progress from what the bookies consider to be one of the most competitive Champions League last-16 ties.
However, PSV have proven very difficult to beat this season – just two defeats in all competitions and none on home soil.
They’ve dominated the Dutch Eredivisie, winning 20 of 22 games so far, but they’ve not found it so easy in Europe with just two of six group games won as they finished behind Arsenal.
Dortmund topped a tricky pool containing PSG, Milan and Newcastle and they are also proving tough to beat, coming into this one on a nine-game unbeaten run.
Striker Niclas Fullkrug is in fine form, scoring six goals in his last five, so the injured Sebastien Haller may not be missed.
However, both teams did struggle to find the net regularly during the group phase before Christmas, so another game with defences on top could be forthcoming.
Read on for our best bets for Tuesday’s showdown at the Philips Stadion…
PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund key stats
- Since their 4-0 thrashing at Arsenal in their opening Champions League group game in September, PSV have lost just once in 24 games in all competitions.
- PSV are unbeaten in the Dutch Eredivisie this season, winning 20 of their 22 games. They have scored 70 goals and conceded only 10 in those matches.
- Dortmund are on a decent run of their own – they are unbeaten in nine in all competitions, although only four of those matches have been won.
- Only one player committed more fouls in the group stage than PSV’s Belgian forward Johan Bakayoko (14 in six games).
- Ex-PSV star Donyell Malen is expected to replace Marco Reus in the Dortmund XI. Mats Hummels could also return at the back but AFCON winner Sebastien Haller has an ankle injury. For the hosts, Guus Til remains out but Armel Bella-Kotchap is nearing full fitness having been out since October.
PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund best bets
Our best bets for PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund are below. The odds we use are from the best sportsbooks per our expert reviews. Odds in the betting tips are also subject to change.
Under 2.5 goals
Both of these sides have scored pretty freely domestically, especially PSV, but they’ve found it much harder against Europe’s elite.
Dortmund topped their group but scored only seven goals in doing so – no side who reached the last 16 scored fewer.
And despite averaging more than three per game in the Netherlands, PSV managed only eight in their six group-stage matches.
Throw in the fact that this is the first of two legs in the tie and playing the unders makes appeal at the price.
Back under 2.5 goals at 6/5 with Spreadex
Donyell Malen to be carded
Dortmund winger Malen returns to face his former club here and could be a spot of value to be carded.
He’s been booked in his last three games in the Bundesliga, while there’s a strict referee in charge – Srdjan Jovanovic has shown at least four cards in 32 of his last 45 UEFA club appointments.
Malen is out at 13/2 in the market which looks worth an interest.
Back Malen to be shown a card at 13/2 with bet365
Niclas Fullkrug first goalscorer
Fullkrug is in fine form having scored six goals in his last five games for Dortmund and he looks the value call in the goalscorer markets.
He’s 2/1 to find the net at any time but, with a low-scoring game already predicted (see above), it’s probably best to side with the German international in the first-goal market.
Despite their tight defensive record domestically, PSV conceded first in four of their six group games in this competition.
Back Fullkrug to score first at 13/2 with Sky Bet
How to watch PSV Eindhoven vs Borussia Dortmund
- Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands
- Time: 20:00 GMT on Tuesday, February 20
- Where to watch: TNT Sports 2
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