British Election Poll Predicts Historic Defeat for the Conservative Party

The United Kingdom’s first general election since 2019 is set for July 4, just two days away.

Historically, the center-left Labour Party, led by Keir Starmer, and center-right Conservative Party, led by Rishi Sunak, dominate elections. 

In the U.K., the Labour Party focuses on expanding public services, workers’ rights, and social equality, while the Conservative Party emphasizes free market policies, reducing government spending, and upholding traditional values.

In March, before Prime Minister Sunak called for the general election, a Pew Research Center survey reported that more British citizens were dissatisfied than satisfied with the state of democracy in their country.

The Reform Party, led by Nigel Farage, is most known for supporting Brexit, reducing immigration, and restoring law and order. The party is appealing to voters on the populist right who might otherwise vote for the Conservatives.

On July 1, a poll by Savanta found that 24 percent of citizens intend to vote for the Conservative Party, 15 points behind Labour’s 39 percent polling rate. Although Reform previously had a single seat in Parliament, Savanta had them polling at 13 percent.

Although it’s the strongest support the Conservatives have had in weeks, it falls short of posing any challenge to the Labour Party. The poll reaffirms what many have been saying for months, Labour is set to win this election with a sizable majority.

The situation is so grave for Conservatives that it is being compared to Canada’s 1993 general election, when the country’s ruling Conservative Party collapsed, losing all but two seats.

As prime minister, Starmer pledged to create a national British energy company with the goal of removing all fossil fuels by 2030.

Conservative members of Parliament have been very critical of Labour’s proposals.

For example, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt, criticized Labour’s spending plans, which would run an annual deficit of £10 billion. To generate enough revenue, Labour plans to raise taxes by £2,094 for each household.

Additionally, Home Secretary James Cleverly claims, “There are thousands [of migrants] waiting in Calais for a Labour government so they can make the crossing,” which will cost families £635 each.

For the Conservatives, Thursday’s election outcome looks grim, but for all British citizens, the results will be costly.

In the absence of a miracle, left-wing programs — including the radical policies that will be announced after the election — will rule British politics for the foreseeable future.

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