Experts slugfest: Our first 2024 Emmy winner predictions

“The Bear,” “Shōgun” and “Baby Reindeer” are the Emmy favorites, but how many awards will they actually win? Gold Derby editors and Experts Christopher Rosen and Joyce Eng are here with their first winner predictions.

With a record-breaking 23 nominations, “The Bear” is obviously expected to bag its second straight Best Comedy Series trophy, but it probably won’t claim six of the seven main categories like it did last time — especially not with “Hacks” back in the picture. The Max comedy could grab multiple wins, including for Jean Smart, who’s undefeated for “Hacks,” and Hannah Einbinder, who’s looking for her first victory, and writing. But how much of a boost will “The Bear’s” Liza Colón-Zayas get from her Season 3 showcase “Napkins” and without co-star Abby Elliott in contention? And what does “Only Murders in the Building’s” over-performance mean?

SEE Experts slugfest: Breaking down the 2024 Emmy nominations snubs and surprises

In drama, “Shōgun” is expected to sweep the lead categories with wins for Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai. But given the FX series’ underperformance in acting — it “only” got five nominations when it was predicted to receive more — are they vulnerable? “Slow Horses” and “Mr. & Mrs. Smith” were the big over-performers in drama, so could either pull off a win somewhere?

Elsewhere, we try to make sense of the chaotic limited/TV movie supporting actor category and more.

Email your questions to slugfests@goldderby.com.

Timestamps:
Intro and reality and variety categories (0:00)
Comedy series (8:25)
Comedy lead categories (17:20)
Comedy supporting categories (23:55)
Comedy directing and writing (35:16)
Drama series (44:28)
Drama lead categories (47:07)
Drama supporting categories (56:15)
Drama directing and writing (59:44)
Limited series (1:04:55)
Limited/TV movie lead categories (1:06:04)
Limited/TV movie supporting categories (1:14:13)
Limited/TV movie directing and writing (1:27:01)
Listener questions (1:36:03)

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