Swell continues but on the fade
Hello Friends,
It’s dropped since this time yesterday, but there are still some serious sets in the mix and the Bureau’s posted a hazardous surf warning, so stay out of the water again today beginners. As of 0800 the MHL buoy was seeing 3.2 metres of 11.8 sec ESE energy. Wind was light and westerly too. Tide was on the ebb from the 1.2 metre high at 0600 and water was a chilly 16 and rated as pollution unlikely at Dee Why.
Sets were around 1.5-2x overhead and appeared to be arriving pretty frequently. Overall the conditions still looked pretty raw and disorganised despite the relative smoothness of the surface.
The goat hasn’t poked his nose out of the barn yet, but I’m expecting him to roll out his weekend and week-beyond surf outlook soon. My quick take from examining the GFS model is that we should have fun size (shoulder to head at magnets) surf across the weekend.
Go well and know your limits, today’s conditions are suitable for experienced and fit riders only.
Weather Situation
A high in the southern Tasman Sea extends a ridge over the coastal waters. A low in the Tasman Sea is combining with the high to enhance winds and generate large and powerful waves along the coast. The low will weaken and drift east over the next few days. A weak trough may cross the coastal waters south of Newcastle during Sunday before being replaced by a weak ridge.
Forecast for Friday until midnight
- Winds
- Southerly 15 to 20 knots decreasing to about 10 knots in the late evening.
- Seas
- 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
- Swell
- Southeasterly 2.5 to 3 metres.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
- Caution
- Large and powerful surf conditions are expected to be hazardous for coastal activities such as crossing bars by boat and rock fishing.
Saturday 3 August
- Winds
- Variable about 10 knots.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southeasterly 2 to 3 metres, decreasing to 2 metres during the afternoon.
- Weather
- Partly cloudy.
Sunday 4 August
- Winds
- West to northwesterly about 10 knots becoming south to southwesterly during the day then becoming east to southeasterly during the evening.
- Seas
- Below 1 metre.
- Swell
- Southeasterly 1.5 to 2 metres, tending easterly 1.5 metres during the morning.
- Weather
- Mostly sunny.