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Октябрь
2024

Mild and micro Monday morning

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Hello Friends,

Only a weak little ripple showing at Dee Why this morning. Out at sea the MHL buoy was seeing a mix of very small south and some peaky but choppy 6-second period NE wind bump. I’d call it knee to maybe waist high on the rare sets at Dee Why. Better NE exposures could offer the odd chest-ish bomb set, but give the average period, I wouldn’t be too hopeful on that front. Wind was N-NNW at 3-5 kts as of 0730. It should pick up into the 15-29 kt range as the day warms up to the 24 C high. The Bureau tells us there’s a 50% chance of a light shower across the day. Water’s ratcheted up a notch to 19 according to Beachwatch.

Outlook is for the south swell component to bump up tomorrow into the 1-1.5 metre range, while the NE stuff also continues. But the wind is set to go south, so, yeah, probably not great. The Bureau tells us that Wednesday should see more favourable S-SW wind and an increase in the NE energy. Weather is set to remain showery. Thursday morning still looks promising as the wind goes offshore in the morning and the swell regime takes on a ESE bent. Could be fun for you all as your correspondent heads off to California for a spell…

Have a great day!

 

Weather Situation

A high pressure system is centred over the Tasman Sea, maintaining a ridge over eastern parts of New South Wales and directing east to northeasterly winds along the coast. A trough will bring a southerly change to southern waters today, gradually extending through central areas early Tuesday as a low develops over the Tasman Sea, before stalling and decaying on Wednesday. Increasing northerly winds are expected to develop late in the week ahead of the next change, which currently looks set to arrive on Saturday.

Forecast for Monday until midnight

Winds
Northerly 15 to 20 knots, reaching up to 25 knots offshore during the morning. Winds turning northwesterly 10 to 15 knots in the evening.
Seas
1 to 2 metres, decreasing to 1 metre during the afternoon.
Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the morning.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 80% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Tuesday 15 October

Winds
Northwest to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots tending southerly 15 to 20 knots before dawn.
Seas
Below 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the morning.
1st Swell
Southerly around 1 metre, increasing to 1 to 1.5 metres during the afternoon.
2nd Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre.
Weather
Partly cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.

Wednesday 16 October

Winds
South to southwesterly 10 to 15 knots shifting northeasterly during the evening.
Seas
Around 1 metre.
1st Swell
Northeasterly around 1 metre inshore, increasing to 1 to 2 metres offshore during the morning.
2nd Swell
Southerly 1 to 1.5 metres, decreasing to around 1 metre during the afternoon or evening.
Weather
Cloudy. 60% chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm.



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