Full list of Week 12 straight-up picks with confidence levels

We make picks for all 13 NFL games with levels of confidence ahead of Week 12.

The NFL season is rolling along with the holiday season approaching. Thanksgiving is a week away and the fight for playoff positioning is heating up. Last week saw some critical matchups swinging division races. The Eagles took command of the NFC East with their win over the Commanders. The Steelers beat the Ravens to take a game and a half lead in the AFC North. The Bills beat the Chiefs to tighten up the race for the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Week 12 of the 2024 NFL season is now upon us we’ve got some notable matchups. The week opens with the Browns hosting the Steelers on Thursday Night Football and closes with the Chargers hosting the Bengals on Monday Night Football. In between, the Bears look to keep their faint playoff hopes alive when they host the Vikings, the Packers host the 49ers in a battle of teams in the NFC wild card mix, and the Seahawks host the Cardinals in a knotted up NFC West race. There are six byes this week with the Falcons, Bills, Bengals, Saints, Jets, and Jaguars all getting a break.

I took one on the chin in Week 11, regressing to an 8-6 record for the week. What crushed my week was going 0-4 on my low confidence picks. I’ve generally done well with those picks, so I suppose a little regression was to be expected.

And so, here’s my full list of picks for Week 12. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win.

High confidence (24-11)

Texans over Titans
Chiefs over Panthers
Commanders over Cowboys

Medium confidence (58-20)

Steelers over Browns
Vikings over Bears
Dolphins over Patriots
Lions over Colts
Cardinals over Seahawks***
Eagles over Rams
Ravens over Chargers

Low confidence (30-24)

Giants over Buccaneers***
Raiders over Broncos***
49ers over Packers***