A Quick Note About Our Project
For starters, Cass seems to have missed that our new video series was just one part of our institute-wide Defending Globalization project that started in September 2023. The project has produced a boatload (trade pun not intended) of original content related to the cross-border movement of things, people, capital, and ideas (aka “globalization”). This includes new public opinion polling, video chats with experts, summaries of new academic research, and literally dozens of new essays from in-house and outside scholars on the history, economics, geopolitics, law, cultural influence, and other facets of globalization.
The project also, however, has sought to put a face on this wonky stuff for two reasons. Most obviously, many folks prefer stories to charts (sad!) and videos to written works, so since Day 1 we’ve planned to supplement the D.C.-oriented wonkery with short videos for a lay audience documenting some of the real people living in the global economy—hopefully in ways that challenge conventional wisdom and that maybe even get the normies to dig deeper into the complex issues raised in the project’s other parts. To claim that the videos are our “best possible case for globalization” not only misunderstands the mechanics of high-quality video production, but also ignores the videos’ connection to a much bigger well of information. On the same day we released the new videos online, in fact, we published a 500-plus page book containing some of the most timely and relevant essays that the project has produced—and we handed out dozens of copies of the book at the videos’ recent launch event.
Anyone making even a cursory scroll of the web pages hosting the videos would grasp the depth and breadth of the project immediately. Cass somehow didn’t.
The second reason we made the videos is, as I discussed when launching our project 15 months ago, that many people—especially pundits and politicians disconnected from the real world—have erroneously turned “globalization” into nothing more than a thing, cooked up in a lab by politicians (probably in Davos) a few decades ago and since then brutally raining down goods upon helpless workers around the world. Yet, as Deirdre McCloskey explained in her 2023 essay for the project, this simply isn’t true: Humans have been engaging in long distance commerce and migration since the dawn of recorded history. She, along with economist Vincent Geloso in a separate piece, explores earlier eras of globalization that were stalled only by large-scale government interference (typically war or totalitarianism). Modern trade agreements like NAFTA certainly play a role in globalization today, mainly by undoing government barriers to these human activities. But they fundamentally remain human activities, and people have been buying and selling and interacting for basically ever. My colleague Colin Grabow reinforces this point in his essay documenting how technology—containerized shipping, the internet, and so on—has arguably played as big a role in modern globalization as government policy, simply because it enables people to do what they already want to do.
Modern globalization is also about a lot more than just trade in goods. As I explain in the book’s new introduction, services trade has exploded in recent years—especially online (hence, our new video on the gaming economy)—and it powers some of the biggest and most important companies in the world, many of which are American (and which fuel the United States’ trade surplus in services, if you’re into that kind of thing). Globalization is surely also about ideas and culture, whether it’s medical research or food or film or fashion or, yes, even video games.
Cass calls all this stuff “ridiculous” and asserts that real globalization actually is just governmental agreements and trade balances because that’s the “what the debates are about” (in Washington, natch). But it’s also surely because talking about NAFTA and the goods-trade deficit serves his interests: It sounds scary and conspiratorial, plays into long-standing biases against foreigners and positive-sum interactions, and ignores all the parts of globalization that are obvious American success stories or enjoyed by normal people every day. It’s far easier to sell tariffs and other government restrictions on global commerce when they’re couched as protecting American communities from shadowy “globalist” agreements that have “crushed” them, instead of what—as former GOP Rep. Jeb Hensarling notes in his essay—conservatives have known protectionism to be for decades: big government taking from one American and giving to his well-connected neighbor (and harming the economy along the way).
I guess I should thank Cass for proving our point.
Of course, trade agreements and trade balances and tariffs are surely also a part of the globalization debate today, so that’s why our project has essays and blog posts and articles on all of it—and a few more on the way. If Cass would like to challenge any of that stuff, he’s welcome to do so and I’ll even host. His subsequent policy points, however, don’t exactly inspire confidence in his future success.
Behold, the Ravages of Globalization
So what, exactly, has all this global integration gotten us? Well, for Cass globalization “has eviscerated American industry, hollowed out communities across the country, and devastated millions of lives.” Later, he analogizes 25 years of globalization to an “unprecedented epidemic of crime and disorder”—pretty dark stuff! Yet, even a cursory examination of the data reveals the emptiness of such demagoguery. Yes, the removal of barriers to international trade and the new competition it allows will temporarily hurt certain domestic companies, workers, and communities—just as any market-based (or government!) disruption will. We’ve taken that issue head-on, however, because the overall tide has undeniably been rising for the vast majority of American workers and places.
The U.S. economy has been on a tear in recent years (see here for more), and median American wages and incomes have been increasing steadily since the “hyperglobalization” era began in the 1990s. The vast majority of American workers are also satisfied with their jobs, which—contra the populist narrative—have decent benefits and aren’t less secure “gig work” arrangements. And according to brand new research from the American Enterprise Institute’s Scott Winship, moreover, the rosy figures above likely understate the wage gains for American workers since the 1990s—when NAFTA, the WTO, and the “China Shock” supposedly “crushed” them—by a significant amount.
The gains get even better, Dan Griswold details in his project essay, when you add in “nonwage benefits—bonus pay, health insurance, paid leave, contributions to retirement savings, etc.—that have made up an increasing share of total compensation in recent decades.” Griswold’s essay, which argues against the kind of economic nostalgia Cass peddles, adds that the U.S. middle class has been “shrinking” only because American households have been getting richer (again adjusting for inflation), and points to improvements in both the average Americans’ consumption of basic necessities and all sorts of non-economic areas—workplace safety, female and minority participation in the formal economy, life expectancy, infant mortality, food supply, education, environmental quality—versus our less globalized past. Marian Tupy’s essay on our modern, globalized “superabundance”—along with Cato’s broader Human Progress site—adds even more.
Elsewhere, economist Jeremy Horpedahl finds that younger generations are today building as much wealth as their older counterparts: