Since the widespread introduction of large language models (LLMs), there has been a wave of research and a deluge of predictions about what artificial intelligence (AI) will mean for the labor market, and when. There has also been research—and considerable speculation—about how AI is affecting the labor market right now. None of this research is—nor could be—the last word. In this analysis, I review a selection of recent research and find that the evidence on how AI is affecting the labor market today is inconclusive, and claims about harmful impacts on particular groups of workers are…
