Rocky year for GOP could allow Dems to steal MAGA seat

Representative Jeff Van Drew, a former Democrat-turned-Trump loyalist, faces unprecedented vulnerability in his previously safe New Jersey seat as President Donald Trump's approval ratings plummet.

Republican leadership is alarmed that what was supposed to be secure territory could flip to Democrats.

Van Drew's 2nd District voted for Trump by 13 points in 2024, and Van Drew won reelection by 17 points. However, special elections nationwide show dramatic Democratic gains matching or exceeding Van Drew's margins.

Georgia's Greene replacement race saw Republicans win by only 12 points, a stunning 17-point Democratic swing.

New Jersey is trending Democratic, with Governor Mikie Sherrill winning reelection in a landslide and Trump losing the state by only 6 points.

Four Democratic candidates are competing in the June primary to challenge Van Drew, including Tim Alexander, who believes 2026 represents a fundamentally different political environment.

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