Ted Cruz Takes Lead from Trump in Iowa, Says New Poll

Are the tides finally turning? Has Donald Trump, who just today suggested that we should ban all travel to America by Muslims (a tough thing to enact when you think about it), been bested in a primary state?

According to Monmouth University, polling on the Republican Presidential race in Iowa, Ted Cruz has overtaken the Donald by five points, besting Trump by five points among likely caucus voters. 

Texas Sen. Ted Cruz has overtaken businessman Donald Trump in the race for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination in Iowa, a new poll from Monmouth University shows.

Cruz gets 24 percent support among likely Republican caucus goers, a significant lead over Trump's 19 percent. His fellow senator Marco Rubio of Florida comes in third with 17 percent support, and former neurosurgeon Ben Carson nets 13 percent support.

CNN is reporting a closer result, with Trump and Cruz running neck-and-neck, with the former leading slightly, though in the margin of error. 

Cruz isn't the first person to overtake Trump, of course. Dr. Ben Carson took the lead briefly a couple of months ago, when he surged to the head of the pack in Iowa, only to almost immediately lose his footing. In this case, though, it seems Trump might be legitimately in trouble. Cruz has opened up a substantial lead, and Rubio is pulling almost even. Cruz isn't likely to make the same mistakes Carson did on the trail, and he's positioned to better maintain a lead once he achieves it. Cruz also picked up a number of Carson's voters, something he's likely to keep doing as Carson fades into the background.

As for Trump, there are rumors that many of his core voters are moving on to Chris Christie, which is strange and unexpected, though easy to see if you consider that both candidates appear to be very strong on combatting terrorism.