2024 NFL receiving props: Will Travis Kelce have the career-worst season his absurdly small line projects?

Not many players in NFL history have had the type of 12-month stretch Travis Kelce has since last September.

The Kansas City Chiefs tight end started a relationship with the biggest pop star in the world, co-hosted a popular podcast that’s only grown because of that relationship with Taylor Swift, starred in more commercials than anyone can count (sparking a potential acting career?) and he won his third Super Bowl title as a cherry on top of it all.

Lost in his newfound celebrity, though, was the decline in Kelce’s production last season. He caught for fewer than 1,000 yards for the first time since 2015, snapping a seven-year streak, and his five touchdowns matched his fewest since 2016.

Oddsmakers apparently expect that dip to continue in 2024. The over/under line for his receiving yards at BetMGM is set at 850.5, which would mark a career-low even if he went over it by 12 yards. And let me tell you now, I couldn’t hammer that over any quicker.

Despite Kelce’s low yardage output in 2023, he still had 93 receptions (in just 15 games), which would have put him over 1,000 yards in a typical season. However, it wasn’t a typical season for Kelce and the Chiefs because they didn’t have a reliable wideout for Patrick Mahomes to throw the ball to. That led to more attention on Kelce, who ended up with a career-low 10.6 yards per catch.

That number won’t stay so low in 2024.

After adding speedsters Marquise Brown and Xavier Worthy to the receiving corps this offseason, the Chiefs again have players who can stretch the field (and actually catch the ball), which will help open things up for Kelce. That’s why his over is one of my favorite receiving props this season. Let’s get to a few more.

Prop lines via BetMGM