7 Super Bowl outcomes the sportsbooks are dreading

Sometimes deciding what to bet on is as simple as knowing what the sportsbooks absolutely do not want to happen.

If the house always wins, tail the house, right?

Unfortunately, it’s not always that simple this time of year. With an event like the 2025 Super Bowl, there are so many markets available that even if you bet on the side the book is rooting for, you still might not end up with a profit.

Look no further than the preferred outcome for BetMGM as of Friday.

“Saquon [Barkley] and [Travis] Kelce are the worst outcome for touchdown scorers, and we are still rooting for the Eagles and the Under right now,” BetMGM trading manager Christian Cipollini said in an email. “Ideally, if the Eagles win we’d like them not to use purple or yellow Gatorade as well.”

So while we can’t recommend tailing any (or all) of these bets, it is worthwhile knowing what sportsbooks are rooting for on Sunday night. Here are some of the more notable outcomes that would displease the house.

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All data via BetMGM as of Friday, Feb. 7.

Most bet (tickets) to score first touchdown

1. Saquon Barkley +400
2. Jalen Hurts +650
3. Kareem Hunt +900
4. Travis Kelce +1000
5. Xavier Worthy +1200

Most bet (tickets) players to score anytime touchdown

1. Saquon Barkley -200
2. Jalen Hurts -115
3. Patrick Mahomes +400
4. Travis Kelce +125
5. Xavier Worthy +155

Most bet (ticket) player props

1. Dallas Goedert over 49.5 receiving yards (-125)
2. Patrick Mahomes over 5.5 rushing attempts (-125)
3. Saquon Barkley over 112.5 rushing yards (-125)
4. Xavier Worthy over 5.5 rushing yards (-140)
5. Dallas Goedert over 4.5 receptions (-155)

Super Bowl MVP (handle)

• Saquon Barkley 20.6%
• Travis Kelce 17.6%
• Jalen Hurts 17.1%

Super Bowl MVP (liability)

• Travis Kelce
• Saquon Barkley
• Harrison Butker

Gatorade Color (handle)

• Yellow/Green/Lime 50%
• Purple 19%
• Orange 11%

Notable bets

• $800,000 on Eagles +110
• $300,000 on Chiefs -130
• $125,000 on Chiefs-Eagles under 49.5
• $25,000 on Travis Kelce +1500 to win Super Bowl MVP
• $2,000 on correct score Chiefs 27-23 Eagles +17500
• $1,500 on Dallas Goedert +10000 to win Super Bowl MVP
• $10 on Landon Dickerson +100000 to win Super Bowl MVP
• $10 on Noah Gray to score 1^st TD / Kareem Hunt to score 2^nd TD +17500