New Ohio poll shows who's leading races for president, senator

COLUMBUS, Ohio (WCMH) -- New polling data shows one presidential candidate has an undeniable lead for the November election in Ohio, while parties swapped places in a more closely disputed Senate race.

The new survey from Emerson College Polling and The Hill asked 945 potential Ohio voters about their preferences between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, as well as between incumbent Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown and Republican candidate Bernie Moreno. The data comes freshly gathered from Tuesday to Thursday.

The race for U.S. president in Ohio

Former President Donald Trump held 53% of respondents' voting choices, while Vice President Kamala Harris trailed at 43%. The 10-point lead falls outside the poll's +/- 3.1% margin of error, and another 4% of voters polled were undecided.

Emerson College Polling noted in results for Ohio that support for Trump among male voters grew slightly, and Harris' support among women stayed about the same.

The national scale told a different story as of Friday. Harris leads Trump by 4.1%, according to 159 polls aggregated by Decision Desk HQ. In the aftermath of President Joe Biden's July 21 dropout from the race, Trump had the advantage. But Harris has slowly overtaken him, beginning in August.

Ohio's U.S. Senate race

Ohio's high-profile race for a U.S. Senate seat is too close a call for polling to determine a leader. Brown and Moreno's shares of voters sit at 46% and 44%, respectively, falling within the Emerson College/The Hill poll's margin of error. Undecided voters could make or break each candidate, accounting for a 10% share of pollsters. Emerson College Polling noted Brown had the eye of 48% of independent voters, while Moreno held 37%.

While pollsters -- who also conducted the survey in Florida, California and Texas -- asked potential voters about some ballot initiatives in those states, Emerson College/The Hill did not ask for choices on Ohio's redistricting amendment. It did highlight respondents' opinions on top issues, to which 49% of Ohioans asked said was the economy.

Early voting in Ohio's general election is nearly a month away. Voters in the state could also see last-minute changes before November, as Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose called for the elimination of ballot boxes on Wednesday.