Trump leading Biden by 5 points in hypothetical rematch: Survey

Former President Trump leads President Biden by five points in a hypothetical rematch, according to a new poll from The New York Times and Siena College.

Among registered voters, 48 percent said they would vote for the former president if the 2024 presidential election “were held today” and the candidates were him and Biden. Forty-three percent said they would vote for Biden in response to the same question. 

The poll also found 65 percent of registered voters said the country is on the “[w]rong track,” versus 24 percent saying it is on the “[r]ight track.”

Biden was found to be leading the former president by four points in a Virginia poll released Friday, but the poll also saw low favorability ratings for both candidates. The Old Dominion is a notable swing state, electing a Republican governor in 2021, but voting for Democrats in the last four presidential elections.

The Times and Siena College poll also asked registered voters who they voted for in the last presidential election, with 44 percent saying they voted for Biden and 34 saying they voted for Trump. Eighteen percent said they didn’t vote in the 2020 election.

Both presidents won their respective recent primaries in Michigan, but Biden faced some trouble, with over 100,000 Michiganders casting a protest vote against the president for an “uncommitted” ballot option. The “uncommitted” campaign in the Wolverine State meant voters showed support for the Democratic party, but not the candidates listed on the ballot, and served as a protest against Biden's actions with regard to the Israel-Hamas war.

The Times and Siena College poll was conducted between Feb. 25 and 28 and featured 980 registered voters from across the nation, with 823 who completed the full survey. The margin of error for registered voters is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points and plus or minus 4 percentage points for registered voters who completed the full survey.