Hogan edges past Alsobrooks, Trone in Maryland Senate race: Poll

Former Gov. Larry Hogan (R) is edging past Democrats Angela Alsobrooks and Rep. David Trone in the Maryland Senate race, according to a new poll.

A Goucher College poll released Tuesday showed Hogan receiving 44 percent of voter support, leading Alsobrooks by 4 points in a hypothetical head-to-head match-up.

A separate 11 percent said they were undecided.

In a hypothetical match-up between Hogan and Trone, Hogan barely defeats the House Democrat, 43 percent to 42 percent. A separate 10 percent said they were undecided.

The margin is within the poll’s margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The Sarah T. Hughes Center for Politics at Goucher College and The Baltimore Banner co-sponsored and funded the poll.

Between the two Democratic candidates, Trone leads the Prince George’s County executive 42 percent to 33 percent among Democratic likely voters. Close to 25 percent say they’re undecided.

“Should former Gov. Larry Hogan win the Republican primary, our results indicate that the race to replace retiring U.S. Sen. Ben Cardin would be closely contested against either Democratic candidates—U.S. Rep. David Trone or Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks,” Mileah Kromer, director of the Sarah T. Hughes Center, said in a press release.

“Abortion, gun control, and health care, as well as Democratic control of the U.S. Senate, all matter for Democrats, but public safety, economic development, and tax issues rise to the top as the key issues for voters overall.”

Hogan’s entry into the race has scrambled the calculus for Democrats who expected the Maryland Senate seat to stay blue; the Republican former governor’s entry will force Democrats to spend money in the Old Line State.

The Goucher College Poll was conducted March 19-24. A total of 800 adult registered voters participated in the poll, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The poll includes 408 Democratic likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.