China's Third Plenum does nothing to revive economy, observers say

Taipei, Taiwan — China's ruling party has concluded the Third Plenum of its 20th Central Committee with a communique described as vague and cliché by China watchers, who said it lacks specific measures to address China's economic difficulties.

Shi He-ling, an associate professor of economics at Monash Business School at Monash University in Caulfield, Australia, said the communiqué was disappointing and that its writers were completely unthinking.

The 5,000-word communiqué, issued on Thursday, touted the Chinese Communist Party's achievements in "comprehensively deepening reforms" and said the future will be critical for comprehensively advancing "Chinese-style modernization," building a strong country and rejuvenating the nation.

Shi said that while Chinese President Xi Jinping has set out a new vision of "Chinese-style modernization" to highlight his differences from previous party leaders, the communiqué does not provide any specific definitions that are measurable.

"It does not make macroeconomic adjustments at all but is like a philosophical article, which is basically a cliché," Shi told VOA.

In addition to "socialist market mechanisms" and "new quality productivity," the communiqué stressed that national security is an important foundation for the steady and long-term development of Chinese-style modernization; that the modernization of national defense and the armed forces is an important part of it; and that "party leadership" in particular is the "fundamental guarantee" for promoting this policy.

Yeh Yao-yuan, chairman of the Department of Political Science at the University of St. Thomas in Houston, Texas, said that under the framework of "Xi Thoughts," it is difficult for the economic exposition of this communiqué to be new.

Even if the "socialist market economic system" is repeatedly touted, it will not be able to reverse China's economic decline, he said, adding that Xi's economic reform is in fact "changing things to their old ways."

These include forcing the private sector to retreat in order to help the state advance and tightening controls over foreign capital, which will hit the market economy hard.

Ming Chu-cheng,  professor emeritus of political science at National Taiwan University in Taipei, offered a similar assessment on Thursday at a seminar in Taiwan.

Xi “is touting the market economy, but what he really pushes is 'the people retreat and the country advances,' which is completely opposite to what he says,” Ming said. “I don't have great hopes for the Third Plenum. Even if you relax the economic restrictions, you will encounter exactly the same problems in another 20 years because politics is choking the economy."

The communiqué received more than 100 million views on Weibo and made it to the hot search list hours after its release. However, there was hardly any substantive discussion online among Chinese people in the comment areas. Most just reposted and recited some of the communiqué text to express their concerns.

The personnel changes made at the plenum attracted a lot of attention as the CCP officially approved the removal of its former foreign minister, Qin Gang, from its Central Committee.

Qin, who has not been seen in public since last summer, is no longer a member of the Communist Party leadership. He was dismissed as foreign minister in July last year and removed from the post of state councilor three months later.

His resignation from the top body had been accepted. No further details were provided, and the reasons behind Qin's disappearance remain unclear. He was allegedly investigated for having an extramarital affair, leaking secrets and endangering national security.

The plenum also confirmed the expulsion of former Defense Minister Li Shangfu. Li Yuchao and Sun Jinming of the People's Liberation Army's Rocket Force were also removed from the Central Committee.

Many online comments focused on Qin being called "comrade" in the party's published decision while others were calling Qin's ousting a "soft landing."

After the discussion on Qin's removal became a hot topic, the Weibo accounts of various media outlets seemed to be alerted and comments were concealed.

Chong Ja Ian, an associate professor of political science at the National University of Singapore, said that Beijing dislikes Chinese people arguing online about the CCP's high-level personnel because comments might call into question the party's decisions and judgment, especially as Qin was previously Xi's close confidant and the foreign minister.

"What happened to Qin has not been particularly public so far,” Chong told VOA, “and too many of these discussions [about Qin] will also distract public attention from the economic reform plan the Third Plenum wants to promote."

Adrianna Zhang, Yang An, Joyce Huang contributed to this story.