New ‘civil war’ on the horizon, and soon, confirms huge number of Americans

Millions and millions of Americans believe that a civil war, within the next 10 years, is very likely.

Some may be surprised by the result of a new polling, but given the fact that the divisions in America are deep and wide and, apparently in many cases, intractable, perhaps they shouldn’t.

The results come from a YouGov polling which showed actually about 40 million Americans, 12%, say the conflict is very likely.

Millions and millions more, another 28% or about another 90 million or so, say it is somewhat likely to occur.

It is Newsweek that outlined the results showing a huge surge in those concerns just since the last polling in December.

Of course, in that time frame, President Donald Trump took office for his second term, and Democrats all across America have attacked, with hundreds of lawsuits. Democrat judges have attacked with dozens of nationwide injunctions. Leftists have attacked by joining law firms that are suing Trump. And more.

The polling, from June 16, 2025, took responses from 2,275 U.S. adults.

Newsweek called it “an uptick” in concerns from the last such polling, in December with responses from 1,582, where 9% said a civil war is very likely and 21% somewhat likely.

The change from 30% expressing such concerns to 40% actually means that another 30 or 35 million Americans have joined in that view in that short time frame.

The Newsweek report explained, “The U.S. has seen an uptick in political polarization, as well as growing political unrest in recent weeks, such as the assassination of Minnesota politician Melissa Hortman and protests over President Donald Trump’s immigration policies in Los Angeles turning violent earlier in June.
California Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, said Trump wants ‘civil war on the streets of America’ during their dispute about how to quell the violence in L.A., though Trump has pushed back on that statement.”

The poll showed only 22% said a civil war is not very likely, while 17% said it is not likely at all.

Newsweek confirmed, “Democrats were more likely to view a civil war as likely than Republicans. Seventeen percent of Democrats said civil war is very likely, and 31 percent said it is somewhat likely. Among Republicans, 7 percent viewed a civil war as very likely and 25 percent as somewhat likely, according to YouGov.”

“To me, evidence of ‘civil conflict’ continues to increase, especially in terms of the increase in political violence,” explained Nina Silber, a history professor in Boston, in an interview with Newsweek. “And while acts of violence occur on both sides of the political divide, I am particularly worried about political officials who have been stoking and encouraging political violence, who make it an almost accepted part of our culture.”

Actually, President Trump has said, referring to Newsom, “I don’t want a civil war. Civil war would happen if you left it to people like him.”