Cagey Man City vs Liverpool and David Moyes’ Everton to stun old club United – Weekend Wager’s best Premier League bets
SUNSPORT’S Weekend Wager uses in-depth stats and razor-sharp analysis to bring you the best value bets from the upcoming bumper weekend of sport.
Joining our very own Will Pugh on this week’s show is football journalist Toni Afoke and betting expert Sam Rosbottom.
The panel analyse this weekend’s biggest Premier League matches, including Manchester City’s mouthwatering tussle with Liverpool.
While they also cast expert eyes over Everton‘s clash with Manchester United.
The gang then cast their attentions towards Riyadh, and this Saturday’s huge rematch between Artur Beterbiev and Dmitry Bivol.
Check out all our best bets for the weekend below:
Manchester City vs Liverpool
Toni Afoke: Alexis Mac Allister fouled 2+ times – 7/5
“I’m going for Alexis McAllister to be fouled two or more times.
“That’s at a price of 7-5.
“The reason I’ve gone for this is McAllister’s been fouled 14 times in the last 10 games in all competitions and also 11 times in his last six Premier League starts.
“So if you do the maths, that’s practically twice in a game.
“He’s going to be going up against Nico Gonzalez as well, who’s a massive physical presence and that City midfield just doesn’t have the legs anymore.”
Will Pugh: Less than 2.5 goals – 15/8
“I am going less than 2.5 goals in the game, 15-8. I know it’s a little bit dull and it’s one of those, it’s not a 90 minute bet either, which I don’t normally like, it could be all over after 20 minutes.
“But a little bit of insight from you before the show, Sam, got me thinking that this might be a bit of an omen.
“This is the first time in 15 years that Liverpool are favourites to win at the Etihad. And the last time that happened in 2010, the game finished 0-0.
“Like loads of football fans up and down the country, I’m used to looking forward to these games, getting all caught up in the hype as Sky Sports or TNT are trying to build it up and make us feel that it’s the most important thing ever to happen.
“I’ve done that a few times now and I’ve learnt my lesson because the last three times these two teams have come up against each other, there has been less than 2.5 goals in the game.
“You always leave afterwards a bit disappointed, feeling like they’ve cancelled each other out. The last time these two played in December 2024, Liverpool won 2-0 at Anfield.”
Sam Rosbottom: Erling Haaland 2+ fouls – 7/2
If he plays, Erling Haaland to commit two or more fouls at 7-2 is a big price for me.
“He’s committed six fouls in his last three league games, which is more than any other City player.”
Sam Rosbottom: Luis Diaz to be fouled 2+ times
“Another one I do like is Luis Diaz to be fouled two or more times at 13-8.
“He’s been fouled six times in his last three Premier League starts.
“Looking at who he could be coming up against as well at right-back for City, (Abdukodir) Khusanov had that disaster game against Chelsea.
“Since then I do think he has grown into the shirt. But he has committed six fouls in his last four in all comps.
“It could be one of the key battles on Sunday, him versus Diaz. And I can see Diaz being fouled twice.”
Everton vs Manchester United
Toni: Everton winning at half-time – 21/10
“I’m going for Everton winning at half-time at 21-10.
“The reason I’m doing this is because Everton have been winning at half-time in four of their last five games.
“It pains me to bet against my club, but at the end of the day, we’re rubbish.
“And United have failed to score in the first-half in 15 of their last 16 matches in all comps.
“The only goal that they scored was a first-half penalty in the 3-1 loss to Brighton, which was in January.”
Will: Everton to win – 13-10
“Listen, as we all know, I would build a statue of David Moyes outside London Stadium immediately. Therefore, I’m just going nice and simple with this one. Everton to win at 13-10.
“David Moyes has won his last two Premier League home matches vs Manchester United, beating them 1-0 and 2-0 with West Ham in 2023.
“He also won his last home league game against United in his first spell in charge of Everton, beating them 1-0 in August 2012.
“And quite simply, Everton have won four of their last five Premier League games, which is more wins than they had in their first 20 games of the season. Everton are so good.”
Sam: Beto to have two shots on target – 2/1
“Something else that I like, Beto is a completely changed player. Man transformed, isn’t he? Under David Moyes.
“I know it’s cliche, but he’s like a new signing for them, isn’t he?
“A goal every 88 minutes. He scored four in his last three league matches. A shot conversion rate of 40% per cent under Moyes.
“So I’m going to go Beto to have two shots on target at 2-1.
“He’s had two shots on target in three of his last four games. And I think that’s a nice price for a bet build as well.”
Beterbiev vs Bivol 2
Sam: Beterbiev by knockout – 9/5
“I’m looking at Beterbiev by knockout in this one at 9-5.
“The reason why I like this one is because the guy is a knockout monster.
“He’s got a 95 per cent knockout ratio, which is insane. Obviously, going into the bout in October, he was coming off the back of an injury, hadn’t fought for a while.
“He’s in a much better place now coming into this one, much more prepared.
“Look, don’t get me wrong, Bivol as well is a top class fighter, but I just think in this one, Berturbiev will have that extra little bit more and we could see some real firepower from him.”
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