NATE SILVER: Why I 'screwed up' on Donald Trump
AP
A few weeks ago, as Donald Trump became the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Nate Silver admitted that his data-driven site, FiveThirtyEight, "got the Republican race wrong."
Silver's post, which was discussed here, was something of a mea culpa. But it pointed to a slew of external factors ostensibly out of Silver's control and which he rationally could not have predicted. (The short of it, according to Silver, was that three assumptions had gone wrong.)
But in a new post on FiveThirtyEight on Wednesday... Читать дальше...