‘Maymay’ likely to weaken into LPA within 12 hours; another tropical depression to enter PAR

Tropical depression Maymay is more likely to weaken into a low pressure area (LPA) within 12 hours, while another tropical cyclone may enter the country’s area of responsibility by Thursday, Oct. 13, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said in its latest bulletin.

As of 5 p.m., Wednesday, Oct. 12, tropical depression Maymay has maintained its maximum sustained winds of 45 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gusts of up to 55 kph.

It was last seen 180 kilometers (km) east of Casiguran, Aurora, and was moving westward at 10 kph.

“Tropical depression Maymay is forecast to continue moving generally westward towards the eastern coast of Isabela or Aurora. This tropical depression is forecast to deteriorate into a remnant low within the next 12 hours,” PAGASA said.

In a weather update through PAGASA’s official social media page, senior weather specialist Raymond Ordinario said there is no longer any landfall scenario in sight for tropical depression Maymay.

However, he said it can still bring rains to the areas that it will pass through.

“Today (Oct. 12) through tomorrow early morning (Oct. 13), moderate to heavy with at times intense rains [may prevail] over Cagayan, the northern portion of Isabela, Apayao, Kalinga, Mountain Province, and Ifugao,” PAGASA said.

“Light to moderate with at times heavy rains [may also prevail] over Ilocos Region, and the rest of Cagayan Valley, and Cordillera Administrative Region,” it added.

PAGASA still warned against possible scattered to widespread flooding or rain-induced landslides.

As of 5 p.m., only three areas remain under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1.

These are the eastern portion of Isabela (San Mariano, Dinapigue, San Guillermo, San Pablo, Ilagan City, Benito Soliven, San Agustin, Palanan, Divilacan, Jones, Maconacon, Tumauini, Echague, Cabagan), eastern portion of Quirino (Maddela, Nagtipunan, Aglipay, Saguday), and northern portion of Aurora (Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dilasag, Dipaculao).

Tropical depression outside PAR; LPA west of Occidental Mindoro

Meanwhile, Ordinario said the tropical depression outside the PAR is still likely to enter the region by Thursday and move toward the extreme Northern Luzon in the next few days.

Its location was estimated 1,925 km east of Northern Luzon around 3 p.m., Wednesday.

It has maintained its maximum sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph, while moving northwestward at 20 kph.

Ordinario said PAGASA is also monitoring a low pressure area 650 km west of San Jose, Occidental Mindoro as it also may develop into a tropical depression.

However, he said that the LPA will likely to move away from the country.

The next tropical cyclone names inside the PAR on PAGASA’s list are Neneng and Obet.