Новости за 22.11.2016

Jorge Castaneda, NYT

How should Mexicans respond now that Mr. Trump has been elected?

James Stavridis, Nikkei Asian Review
It is said in a military organization that "no good idea survives a change-of-command ceremony," and the same may be said of a U.S. presidential inauguration. Despite several years of advocacy (with surprisingly little actual shift of attention or resources), the much vaunted "Pacific pivot" of the Obama administration seems unlikely to be a central organizing feature of a Trump presidency, to say the least. Where will Asia policy go under the new administration? Читать дальше...

Marcos Degaut, The National Interest
As U.S. foreign policy focuses more on economics, Washington's relationship with Brazil assumes greater importance.

Elaine Ou, Bloomberg View
Crime creates demand for physical money, not necessarily the other way around.

Maxim Suchkov, Al-Monitor
Russia is trying to figure out all the Middle East scenarios that might affect it under a Donald Trump presidency.

Slawomir Sierakowski, Project Syndicate
Donald Trump could be dismissed as an eccentric if his foreign-policy proposals did not threaten to unravel crucial alliances and destabilize the international order. His promise to be "unpredictable" is especially troublesome for global geopolitics, and in Eastern Europe, all geopolitics is existential.

Kelly McParland, National Post
The Prime Minister must now demonstrate he can protect Canada's interests from a White House and Congress with very different priorities.

Jane Ferguson, Vox
From tunnels to armored car bombs, ISIS is waging a new and brutal type of guerrilla war.

Cnaan Liphshiz, Times of Israel
The impact of US election on would-be populist presidents Le Pen, Wilders and Nofer depends on who you ask.

Robert Zaretsky, RealClearWorld
On Sunday night, as the returns were being counted in the first round of the French presidential primary for the conservative Les Républicains party, the nation's political landscape shuddered not once but twice. Taking by surprise commentators and pollsters, former Prime Minister François Fillon came in first with 44 percent of the vote, outdistancing the favorite, former Prime Minister Alain Juppé. But -- and here the earth shifted a second time -- he also doubled the score of his onetime boss... Читать дальше...

Hugh White, National Interest
If they are wise, China's leaders will be very careful about how they test Donald Trump's resolve.

Ivan Krastev & Stephen Holmes, For. Policy
Trump and Putin want to reset U.S.-Russian relations on the basis of a shared worldview. But that might just increase the chances of a conflict.

Tim Mak, Daily Beast
At a top annual international security conference this weekend, Trump's win—and uncertainty about how he'll handle Russia, Syria, and various international threats—loomed large.

Max Boot, Commentary
In October 2015, during a battle for the northern Afghan city of Kunduz, U.S. forces accidentally bombed a hospital belonging to Doctors Without Borders. The...

David Benson, RealClearWorld
In the wake of a uniquely unpredictable U.S. election, international relations scholars are now trying to predict how a Donald Trump administration will affect American foreign policy. The president-elect's repeated criticism of Chinese trade policy during the campaign has brought even more attention to the crucial U.S.-China relationship. Regardless of the president, a fragile Chinese economy is entering a tense phase, and Trump's election suggests that American domestic... Читать дальше...

Christopher Balding, Bloomberg View
A trade war would be destructive. But tough talk from the new president could help all sides.

George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures
The U.S. presidential campaign contained a constant undertone of Russia and President Vladimir Putin. Putin said nice things about Donald Trump, and Trump about Putin. In fact, there is a small faction of Trump supporters that admires Putin for being a strong leader and for his position on gay rights and other matters. They do not see him as a former communist, but rather as a defender of Western civilization.

Jana Hajzlerova & Michael Raska, Lowy
Current international policy vectors toward North Korea have largely failed to curtail North Korea's WMD programs and change its policies. As Pyongyang prepares for a possible sixth nuclear test, it's clear a new approach is called for.

Raphael Minder, New York Times
ALGHERO, Italy — The first Catalans reached Sardinia in the 14th century, when troops sailed from the eastern coast of what is now Spain as part of an expansion into the Mediterranean.After an uprising slaughtered the forces garrisoned in this northern port on the island, King Peter IV expelled many of the locals. In their place, he populated Alghero mostly with convicts, prostitutes and other undesirables, many of them Catalans.

Alex Barker, Financial Times
Ulrik Federspiel should be Britain's ally in making Brexit work. His father was a Harrow-educated, British-backed hero of the Danish wartime resistance. His long career in diplomacy and business is the embodiment of Denmark's anglophile postwar establishment and its pragmatic, free-trading spirit. A short walk from his office is the leafy Mølleåen valley, which an early translator of Shakespeare called home. Anglo-Danish affinities run deep — as does a shared nonconformist, Eurosceptic streak.

William Baulch, For. Brief
Colombia's FARC insurgency has agreed to peace but could domestic politics return the country to war?