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Новости за 03.06.2020

Hong Kong at Risk of a Tiananmen Repeat

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Hsiao Hsu-hsing, Taipei Times

The COVID-19 pandemic continues to wreak havoc worldwide. Despite countries being under pressure economically and from the novel coronavirus, China’s National People’s Congress last month passed national security legislation for Hong Kong, a decision that has shocked the world.

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Don’t Be Blown Off Course on Brexit

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Stephen Glover, Daily Mail

Brexit! So you thought it had happened? Not exactly. Britain may have left the EU, but its crucial future trading relations with the bloc are still being discussed, and in an unproductive and acrimonious way.

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How the World Sees America Now

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Robert Burgess, Bloomberg

The killing of a black man in Minneapolis at the hands of police has sparked both peaceful demonstrations and chaos unseen since the days of the Vietnam War.

The Retreat From Primacy

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Aaron David Miller & Richard Sokolsky, Carnegie Endowment

In the 1951 science fiction classic The Day the Earth Stood Still, an alien in human form visits the planet accompanied by a giant metallic robot and delivers an ultimatum: change your warlike ways or face obliteration. The movie ends with world leaders pondering their choice.

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U.S. Election Will Determine Assad’s Future

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Iyad Yousef, Foreign Policy

Washington’s approach to Syria won’t change, but divergent approaches to Iran could have an indirect effect on the Syrian economy—and the Assad regime.

This Is Not Trump’s Fault

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Peter Van Buren, The American Conservative

George Floyd's suspected killer didn't wait for Trump to send out a tweet or even take office, he'd been at it for two decades.



India’s Industrial Policy Needs New Ideas

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Anita Prakash, East Asia Forum

On 12 May 2020, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a second economic package to counter the financial fallout of the coronavirus crisis. The Rs 20 trillion (US$264 billion) package amounts to roughly 10 per cent of India’s 2018 nominal GDP.

Kazakhstan on the Edge

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Aigerim Toleukhanova, The Diplomat

In 2019, Kazakhstan was catapulted into political transition. 2020 has yielded its own shocking changes

From China to India

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George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

U.S.-China relations have been in decline for a long time. The United States had for years provided China with relatively free access to the American market. The United States wanted equivalent access to the Chinese market, but China was unable to grant this. Its industrial base produced more products than the Chinese people could consume, in terms of quantity, price and the types of products produced. China was a compulsive exporter because only exports... Читать дальше...

No End in Sight for Russo-Turkish Tensions in Syria

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Stephen Blank, CGP

The Russo-Turkish agreements of March 5 set up joint patrols in northeastern Syria, a territory contested by the Syrian government, Russian forces supporting that government, Syrian rebels, and Turkish forces. As has been the case with previous such tactical truces, this agreement will merely put a temporary bandage over a gaping wound whose sources of infection have not been...

South Asia Will Be Poorer, Weaker, Less Democratic

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Arif Rafiq, WP Review

The coronavirus pandemic, at least in its first wave, is not expected to peak in South Asia until July. But countries in the region, which have yet to witness a significant outbreak along the lines of China, the United States or the hardest-hit parts of Europe, are

AI Risks to Conflict Escalation in U.S.-Russia Confrontation

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B. Laird, RM

What advances in artificial intelligence (AI) will mean for the future battlefield remains opaque. Mainline discourse is overly influenced by exaggerated forecasts such as that reflected in Russian President Vladimir Putin’s often repeated 2017 declaration that “whoever becomes the leader” in the sphere of artificial intelligence “will become the ruler of the world”...


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