Новости за 10.07.2020

Stratfor Worldview

Brad Setser, Council on Foreign Relations

On current trends, goods exports to China will struggle to reach their 2017 level—there won't be any big gains from the Phase One deal.

Jasmin Mujanovic, Balkan Insight

On the 25th anniversary of the Srebrenica genocide, as well as commemorating the dead, we must take action to confront the growing trend of Bosnian genocide denial around the world.

Moises Naim, El Pais

What do international cooperation, Washington’s prestige, fiscal austerity and globalization have in common?

Elliot Waldman, WPR

Just over a week after China’s decision to impose a sweeping new security law on Hong Kong, the scale of the fallout is coming into full view. As WPR columnist Howard French wrote this week, “the law sharply curtails what was left of Hong Kong’s semiautonomous status, which was promised to last for 50 years after the city’s handover to China from Britain in 1997.”

Heer, NI

The Korean War helps explain the nature of the U.S.-China confrontation today, which is based in part on some similarly problematic assumptions.

Charles Grant, Centre for European Reform

As Belarus’s presidential election approaches on August 9th, opposition to Alyaksandr Lukashenka is growing. The EU needs a strategy for the country.

J. Hackenbroich, ECFR

The United States could soon place sanctions on European officials. Last month, a leaked German economics ministry report warned that Congress’s proposed Protecting European Energy Security Clarification Act (PEESCA) could lead to sanctions on ministry staff involved in the inspection and certification of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline.

T. Singh Maini, Notes on Liberty

In the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic, the increasingly belligerent behaviour exhibited by China in South Asia and South East Asia, and China’s imposition of the National Security Law in Hong Kong, it is interesting to see the tone of the English language media on China.

Euromaidan Press

Andrew Michta, Am. Int.

The current turmoil in Transatlantic relations isn’t all about Trump. European leaders’ choices now will have a critical impact on the Transatlantic future.

Tariq Mir, Al Jazeera

India's decision to cancel Kashmir's special status is threatening to trigger a regional conflict.

Shashi Tharoor, Project Syndicate

Since independence, India has steadfastly sought strategic autonomy from other great powers. But China's repeated incursions along the disputed Himalayan border have left it with a stark choice: kowtow to China or align itself with a broader international coalition aiming to curb its neighbor's geopolitical ambitions.

Lauren Speranza, Foreign Policy

The alliance has been so focused on Moscow that it has missed Beijing’s growing clout across Europe.