Новости за 27.09.2021

Stefano Graziosi & James Jay Carafano, RCW

Nature abhors a vacuum. So does Afghanistan.

Patrick Wintour, Guardian

By withdrawing form Afghanistan, US President Joe Biden has cleared the decks to focus on China, which many experts believe is planning to target Taiwan next

Daniel Durgavich, 1945
As the world continues to grapple with the American withdrawal from Afghanistan, U.S. national security practitioners have once again returned to the question of what objectives will guide the United States in the years to come. While it is obvious that the landscape of the world has shifted dramatically in the past two decades since 9/11, […]

Shane Mason, War on the Rocks
In 2020, eight Mozambican public officials and one Chinese national named Zhao were arrested for illegally harvesting and exporting timber from Cabo

Philip Smucker, The Diplomat
Humanitarian aid experts desperately want to help, but their options are limited – especially if they want to avoid further empowering the Taliban.

Georgina Wright, Institut Montaigne

The Australia-UK-US pacific security pact - AUKUS - has been greeted with anger across France. France's reaction is both due to Australia's decision to cancel a five-year old contract with France to build diesel-power submarines and because it officially found out about AUKUS a couple of hours before it was announced. This led to France recalling its ambassadors from Canberra and Washington D.C....

M.I. Puerta Riera, GA
The failures in exporting American democracy call for the reframing of democracy promotion as a strategy. If the Biden administration develops a combined regional strategy, it could represent a renewed opportunity.

Bethany Wright, Worldcrunch
-Analysis-BERLIN — Finance Minister Olaf Scholz (SPD) is the front-runner, according to recent polls, to become Germany's next chancellor. Little wonder then that he's attracting attention not just within the country, but from neighbors across Europe who are watching and listening to his every word....

Chris Patten, Project Syndicate
The diplomacy surrounding the recent agreement between Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States left much to be desired, and UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson should now lead efforts to mollify the French. But this should not be the last agreement between like-minded powers to counter Chinese aggression.

Leo Lewis, Financial Times

The Chinese president's ambitions for the state means each month brings a new, landscape-altering surprise from Beijing

Stephen Maher, Maclean's
Politics Insider for Sept. 24, 2021: An effort to oust O'Toole begins; Liberals bet big on Facebook; cabinet speculation

Sumantra Maitra, National Interest

Over the past week, France has withdrawn ambassadors from the United States and Australia, canceled a security summit with the UK after calling Britain a vassal state of America, threatened to start unilateral negotiations with China and Russia, questioned NATO unity, and hinted at withdrawal from NATO.

T. Glavin, Ott. Citizen
Canadians have every reason to feel disgusted, embarrassed, ashamed and angry

M. Kofman, Mos. Times
Opinion | Zapad is not just military theater, it affirms that years of defense modernization and reform have made the Russian military a force with increased capability, readiness, and mobility.

Giovanna De Maio, Foreign Affairs
How Italy's success can strengthen the West.

C. Heusgen with Der Spiegel
Christoph Heusgen served for 12 years as Angela Merkel's top foreign policy adviser. In an interview, he speaks about the chancellor's successes, mistakes, the amateurish nature of Donald Trump's government and the right approach to an ascendant China.

Florian Eder, Politico EU

Negotiations among Germany's parties have just begun. But one election outcome seems clear: The next government will be a centrist one once again — there's just the small outstanding question of who will lead it.

Hal Brands & Michael Beckley, Foreign Policy

Why do great powers fight great wars? The conventional answer is a story of rising challengers and declining hegemons. An ascendant power, which chafes at the rules of the existing order, gains ground on an established power—the country that made those rules. Tensions multiply; tests of strength ensue. The outcome is a spiral of fear and hostility leading, almost inevitably, to conflict. "The growth of the power of Athens, and the alarm which this inspired in Sparta... Читать дальше...