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Новости за 19.10.2021

US-China Trade: Biden in Lockstep With Trump

Real Clear World 

Milton Ezrati, National Interest

Whatever this administration's clear desires to separate itself from Trump, his manner, and his policies, they do not extend to the issue of China trade.

Why China's Hypersonic Missile Tests Are a Worry

Real Clear World 

Klon Kitchen, The Dispatch

This weekend, the Financial Times reported that, back in August, China successfully tested a nuclear-capable hypersonic missile that went into space and orbited the globe before reentering earth's atmosphere and landing within a couple dozen miles of its intended target. The article's authors, Demetri Sevastopulo and Kathrin Hille, also claim American intelligence agencies were "surprised" by...

India and the New 'Quad' in West Asia

Real Clear World 

C. Raja Mohan, Indian Express

The first meeting between foreign ministers of India, Israel, UAE and US suggests that Delhi is now ready to move from bilateral relations conducted in separate silos towards an integrated regional policy

Supply Chains: Our Parachute Moment

Real Clear World 

George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

At the risk of beating a dead horse, I'm writing about supply chains again. Ekaterina Zolotovaand Phillip Orchard can explain why Russian-Chinese maneuvers are insignificant. Antonia Colibasanu and Francesco Casarotto can try to explain Europe.

The Changing Strategic Importance of Gulf, MENA

Real Clear World 

Anthony Cordesman, CSIS

The shift in America's strategic focus from fighting terrorism in the Middle East -and its "long wars" in Afghanistan as well as Iraq and Syria - to competition with China has led to a growing level of confrontation and possible wars in Taiwan and the South China Sea. At the same time, the increases in U.S. domestic natural gas and oil production have led many to believe the U.S. has far less need to ensure the smooth flow of energy exports from the Gulf and the MENA region. Читать дальше...

Defense Decoupling for Turkey, US?

Real Clear World 

Aaron Stein, War on the Rocks

After decades of speculation about the future of the U.S.-Turkish alliance, Washington and Ankara have finally reached a fork in the road. The day after Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan announced plans to deepen defense cooperation with Russia, his government formally submitted a request to the United States for 40 new Block 70 model F-16 aircraft and upgrade kits for 80 F-16s already in service with the Turkish Air Force. The...

The Taiwan Triangle

Real Clear World 

Richard Haass, Project Syndicate

The goal of US policy toward the island should be to reduce uncertainty about America's intentions and its ability to make good on them, while underscoring to Chinese leaders the economic and military costs of aggression. As much as China's leaders want Taiwan, they also want to maintain power and the Communist Party's political monopoly.



Amerikanist Dreams

Real Clear World 

Owen Hatherly, London Review of Books

ne of the more intriguing​ recent conspiracy theories centres on the putative suppression of a global ‘Tartarian Empire', which, before it was destroyed either by the world wars or by a tidal wave of mud, went in for an opulent, gigantist architecture of domes and spires, encompassing everything from St Paul's in London to St Basil's in Moscow. Once the empire was gone, the world was rebuilt by a technologically inferior civilisation that preferred a mass-produced architecture of boxes... Читать дальше...

The Quiet National Defense Crisis

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Thomas Spoehr, Heritage

Analysts worry the U.S. is falling behind in such key military technologies as hypersonic missiles, quantum computing and artificial intelligence.

In US-China Standoff, Is America Reliable Ally?

Real Clear World 

Bilahari Kausikan, Foreign Policy

Sowing doubts about Washington is a potent weapon for Beijing. But even after Afghanistan, U.S. strategy in Asia remains intact.

Is a War With Iran Over Nukes Inevitable?

Real Clear World 

Jason Killmeyer, 1945

The operative reality of Iran's relations with the P5+1 nations stopped being the JCPOA a number of years ago. That's true in two ways, the most obvious being that the deal was only ever limited to slowing a nuclear weapons breakout. It didn't address so many other facets of interaction or Iran's other malevolent behavior. And, nearly as obvious, because the deal was effectively canceled in mid-2018. Since then, it has simply not been that big a...

How the Radical Became Normal in Angola

Real Clear World 

Claudio Silva, African Arguments

When everyone knows the emperor has no clothes but no one dares say it out loud, even the smallest acts of dissent become ones of radical defiance.

Why EU Should Support Armenia-Azerbaijan Rail Line

Real Clear World 

Dreyfus & Hugot, P-Eur.

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The South Caucasus has entered a new phase since the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War, with Baku now holding the advantage. This new paradigm could pave the way for resuming different transportation links across the South Caucasus, a move officially backed by Yerevan, Baku, and Moscow.

Remembering the Horrors of a Day in Paris in 1961

Real Clear World 

Robert Zaretsky, Forward

This past weekend, Paris marked the 60th anniversary of one of the darkest moments in its recent history — a terrible moment that reminds both French Muslims and French Jews of their fragile place in France.

Regional Realignment in the Middle East?

Real Clear World 

Brandon Friedman, Institut Montaigne

Members of two rival camps in the Sunni Middle East - Qatar and Turkey on one side, and Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, on the other - have continued a sustained diplomatic effort at reconciliation this summer. In mid-August the UAE's National Security Adviser, Sheikh Tahnoun bin Zayed Al Nahyan, met with Turkey's President, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. This was followed two weeks later by a "positive" phone call between Emirati Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed and the Turkish president. Читать дальше...

The U.S. and China Face Off in the Far East

Real Clear World 

Georg Fahrion et al, Der Spiegel

Chinese warplanes over the Taiwan Strait, nuclear-powered submarines for Australia, hypersonic rockets in North Korea: Military posturing has turned the Far East into a dangerous place.

The EU Is the Biggest Threat to UK Unity

Real Clear World 

John Redwood, Conservative Home

The Government is strongly in favour of the Union of the UK. So is the Official Opposition. Scotland held a referendum and voted to stay in the Union. At the time all parties agreed it would be a vote for a generation, though the SNP now wobble over the desirability and timing of a much earlier re-run of the vote they lost. The rest of the Union has not campaigned for a vote about their membership. So why is there such nervousness about the subject?


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