Новости за 16.07.2016

Jonathan Freedland, Guardian
Some say his role is merely symbolic. Even so it gives two fingers to the countries whose goodwill we will need.

Tim Stanley, Telegraph
The world has to come to terms with the fact that Donald Trump might win the presidential election.

Fred Kaplan, Slate
There's a school of thought that the recent surge of terrorist strikes, capped by Thursday's mass murder in Nice, France, that has killed at least 84 people, is a sign of ISIS's desperation—a response to shore up morale and reassert its relevance, in the face of its string of losses on the battlefields of Syria and Iraq.

Stephen Kinzer, Boston Globe
Blame the spectacular failure of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's foreign policy.

Stratfor
I have argued two things in the past. The first was that Turkey was an emerging regional power that would ultimately be the major power in its locale. The second was that this is a region that, ever since the decline and fall of the Ottomans in the first quarter of the 20th century, has been kept stable by outside powers. The decision of the United States to take a secondary role after the destabilization that began with the 2003 invasion of Iraq has left a vacuum Turkey will eventually be forced to fill. Читать дальше...

Bell & Loehrke, Bulletin
For more than 40 years, Turkey has been a quiet custodian of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons. During the Cold War, Washington positioned intermediate-range nuclear missiles and bombers there to serve as a bulwark against the Soviet Union (i.e., to defend the region against Soviet attack and to influence Soviet strategic calculations). In the event of a Soviet assault on Europe, the weapons were to be fired as one of the first retaliatory shots. But as the Cold War waned, so, too, did the weapons' strategic value.

Jonathan Haidt, American Interest
And how moral psychology can help explain and reduce tensions between the two.

Alan Philps, The National
Middle East experts say Turkish military's apparent attempt to seize power on Friday has sent shockwaves through Nato and across the world.

Jerry Brown, New York Review of Books
My Journey at the Nuclear Brink is a rare accounting of the last six decades of American policy in the new age of nuclear danger. William Perry makes it clear that the danger of nuclear terrorism is great and that even Washington, D.C., is not safe from attack.

Shane Harris, Daily Beast
The 9/11 Commission's look into the link between Saudi officials and the al Qaeda hijackers is finally here. And there are a number of tantalizing new leads.

Mark Gilbert, World Politics Review
The Italian word for “stormy” is burrascoso. It is a word that foreigners who live in Italy soon learn, if they have any linguistic skill at all, since the outlook for the economy, politics, society, or relations with Europe is invariably one where dark clouds loom on all fronts.

Ian Bremmer, Time
Destroying ISIS won't save us from ISIS

Joel Dreyfuss, Washington Post
With three major attacks in 18 months, my sense of safety about living in France has changed.

Aaron Klein, Breitbart
ANALYSIS: Turkey's Erdogan Shattered Even If His Regime Survives

Noah Blaser, Foreign Policy
Army generals are attempting to topple the president — but whoever comes out on top, Turkish democracy is sure to lose.

Jay Solomon & Carol Lee, WSJ
Washington appeared to be facing two bleak outcomes in Muslim-majority Turkey in the coming month. The military could succeed in overthrowing Mr. Erdogan, resulting in unrest if the leader's supporters, many of them religious conservatives, take to the streets.Conversely, Mr. Erdogan could hold on to power but rule in an increasingly paranoid and authoritarian manner. He has increasingly sought control of the major institutions inside Turkey, including the media, judiciary and security forces.

Economist
Regardless of the outcome, Turkish politics will change for the worse.