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2016

Новости за 20.07.2016

Failed Turkish Coup Is Bad News for the War on ISIS

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Michael Weiss, Daily Beast
The bloody putsch came closer to bringing down President Erdogan than many at first believed. Now, how can the U.S. count on a key NATO ally at war with itself?

Kasich's Weird Global Paternalism

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Daniel Larison, American Conservative
It isn't and shouldn't be the role of our government to "take care" of other countries.

Don't Forget, or Deny, Hezbollah's Brutal Crimes

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Matthew Levitt, National Post
For the victims of Hezbollah terrorism, this week is a painful one. While the world was focused on horrifying attacks in France, Germany and across the Middle East, a grim anniversary on July 18th went little noticed.

Can Africa Save the West?

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James Poulos, The Week
Why Africa? Simple. For the West, there's a sheer lack of alternatives. Even more significant, however, that's just as true for Africans.

Why Iran Must Fight Saudi Arabia

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Hassan Ahmadian, Al-Monitor
Despite all the challenges it poses for Iran, Saudi Arabia's regional policy and strategic behavior is still not perceived as a threat in Tehran — but could failing to respond be a mistake?

An Important Part of the Iran Deal Was Just Made Public

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Armin Rosen, Tablet
Why is it that such a materially important aspect of the agreement was concealed from public scrutiny? And did Iran, the U.S., and its partners reach any additional understandings last year that the American public still doesn't know about?

The New Normal in the Middle East

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Marina Ottaway, RealClearWorld
The war against ISIS as a proto-state controlling and governing territory is showing signs of progress, although the appeal of the Islamic State ideology and its capacity to inspire acts of terror...



Trump and the Sultan

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Thomas Friedman, New York Times
Turkey is a long way from Cleveland, where the Republicans are holding their presidential convention. But I'd urge you to study the recent failed military coup against Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. America is not Turkey — but in terms of personality and political strategy, Erdogan and Donald Trump were separated at birth.

VIDEO: South China Sea Ruling: What's Next for China?

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Bloomberg
Jean Jonathan Bogais, adjunct associate professor at The University of Sydney, discusses the South China Sea ruling and the next steps for China and the Philippines in resolving the issue. He speaks to Bloomberg's Angie Lau on "Trending Business."

France's Twin Threat: Angry Youth, Cynical Politics

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Richard Werly, Le Temps
NICE — Will the French authorities have the courage to "tell all" about the Nice tragedy and its perpetrator, Tunisian-born Mohamed Lahouaiej Bouhlel? It looks that way, as the anti-terrorism team led by the respected Paris prosecutor, François Molins, demonstrated its commitment to sharing objective information with the public during last year's attacks, both in January and November.

A Coup as Audacious as Turkey's Future

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Reva Goujon, Stratfor
Turkey suffers from an inescapable identity crisis. If we were to paint Turkey in broad strokes, we would see the portrait of a nation torn between a largely secular old guard centered on Istanbul and the Sea of Marmara, fusing Asia with Europe, and a more pious hinterland centered on the unforgiving Anatolian plateau, fusing Turkey with the Muslim world.

Meet Matteo Renzi, Europe's Next Crisis

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F. Guerrera, J. Barigazzi & S. Borrelli, Politico EU
A fight in Brussels over the fate of Italy's troubled financial system is prelude to a long, hot political autumn in Rome.

Big Ambitions: What the Turkish Coup Means for Russia

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Fyodor Lukyanov, M. Times
The failed attempt to overthrow Turkish President Recep Erdogan serves as a “super-vote” of confidence for the leader, blotting out his previous failures. He now has carte blanche to do what he had found so difficult to accomplish since elections in June 2015. This primarily involves changing the constitution to transform Turkey into a presidential republic and entirely cleansing the state apparatus of disloyal or simply undesirable employees.How will the impending changes affect foreign policy? Читать дальше...

The Strongman's Fight to Literally Survive

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Nina Krushcheva, Project Syndicate
In Russia and China, Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping have ignored unwritten rules against harming those they replace or remove from power. Without such rules, a strongman can never relinquish his own power voluntarily – a consideration that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo?an must now bear in mind.

Turkey's Blurry Line Between Religion and Secularism

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Jacob Shapiro, Geo. Futures
Having safely landed in Istanbul after what was reportedly a harrowing journey in which Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdo?an's plane was targeted by coup-supporting F-16 fighter jets, Erdo?an did a curious thing. He accused Fethullah Gülen and Gülenist supporters of being behind the coup.Â

Ominously, the Border Returns to Northern Ireland

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Ian McBride, Guardian
England's unilateral declaration of independence means that the border will dominate politics again, in Dublin as well as Belfast. In addressing this problem, we can only hope politicians there will demonstrate more responsibility than their counterparts in London.

Новости России
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A Vapid Debate on the UK's Nukes

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Martyn McLaughlin, The Scotsman
Trident's replacement was approved amidst a torrent of wincing truisms from MPs, writes Martyn McLaughlin

Why Putin Won't Admit the Truth About Doping

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Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg View
He would rather go into denial about athletes' use of banned substances than admit the entire system is rotten.

Erdogan's Final Agenda

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Uri Friedman, The Atlantic
What's next for Turkey?

Iran's Nuke Deal: So Much Worse Than We Thought

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Michael Qazvini, Daily Wire
According to an exclusive report published by the Associated Press, leaked documents reveal that Iran's breakout time to develop nuclear weapons may be much shorter than the Obama administration has led us to believe. The infamous Iran nuclear deal sits at  the foundation of President Obama's foreign policy legacy. And guess what?

Will Global Chaos Push Americans to Trump?

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Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight
Donald Trump's campaign, of course, has also struck a foreboding tone. It's typical for the opposition party to dramatize the country's problems, as a critique of the incumbent president's performance. But not since Richard Nixon has a major-party candidate so explicitly run on a law-and-order theme, or so determinedly argued that the world is spinning out of control.

The Story of the Old Lieutenant's Wristwatch

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John Simpson, New Statesman
Harold was 24: tall, amiable, clever, handsome, with one of those silky moustaches that heroes affected in war stories.


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