Новости за 04.09.2016

Haleh Esfandiari, Wall St. Journal
President Rouhani and Foreign Minister Javad Zarif can help influence this IRGC behavior only if they break their silence regarding these arrests.

Carl Cannon, Orange County Register
It's unlikely that anyone will ever write an opera — or even a soap opera — titled “Trump in Mexico,” but it would have seemed even more improbable four decades ago that an opera would be performed called “Nixon in China.” But it has been staged, at the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, no less.

Doug Saunders, GM

Canada today sells about $20-billion in goods to China every year. The largest share, more than a quarter, is wood and other forest products; the next, at 15 per cent, is canola seeds used to make cooking oil. Almost all the rest is made up of minerals, petroleum, grains, fish and other raw materials pulled from the earth and sea.

Samir Saran, Quartz
Emerging economies will be stuck with the traditional disadvantages of weak governance, cumbersome bureaucracies, quality and competence issues, fragile supply chains, and a lack of skilled labour even as they compete with machines and machine learning. Large labour pools are unlikely to provide any competitive advantage unless the labour force is reoriented, retrained, and reimagined.

Cholpon Orozobekova, The Diplomat
What does the future hold without the only leader Uzbekistan has ever known?

Eli Lake, Bloomberg

The secretary says there is "no military solution." But that's been the key to the U.S. approach.

Sean Lyngaas, Wash Post
Analysts say the fallout from the election poses a stiff test for Gabon, whose political class is more fractured than in years past. The crisis comes as Bongo is trying to modernize the Gabonese economy, steering it away from its dependency on oil, the country's lifeblood during more than 40 years of rule by Bongo's father, Omar. But these days, oil prices have dropped, and many Gabonese are still waiting for the modernization efforts to bear fruit.

Babak Dehghanpisheh, Reuters
A decision by a Kurdish opposition group to take up arms against Iranian authorities has senior officials in Tehran worrying that Saudi Arabia is seeking to undermine its stability in a deepening of their regional rivalry.

Andres Oppenheimer, Miami Herald
Contrary to what former Democratic hopeful Bernie Sanders says, the congressional ouster of former Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff was not a coup, but an impeachment process that followed the letter and spirit of Brazil's Constitution. On the other hand, what is a coup — but Sanders and his friends are ignoring — is the illegal takeover of all branches of government by the president of Venezuela.

Alison Smale, NYT

In what is shaping up as a crucial test of Chancellor Angela Merkel's welcome to some 1 million migrants in the past year, her political home state in the country's impoverished northeast will hold elections on Sunday.

Chris Caldwell, Weekly Standard
A surprising German poll showed Angela Merkel's Christian Democrats (CDU) tied for second place with the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany (AfD) just before this weekend's regional elections in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. The incumbent Social Democrats are at 28 percent, the CDU and the AfD at 22. Do these numbers capture the real strength of the AfD? We'll see, but Germany is not the sort of place where one brags to strangers about casting a ballot for the most right-wing party in the country. Читать дальше...

Hamish McRae, Independent
The G20, is the main co-ordinating body for economic policy in the world – the 20 more-or-less largest economies, accounting for more than 80 per cent of global GDP. It was created in 2008 alongside the earlier grouping of the G7 developed economies, to reflect the power of the so-called emerging world and in particular China and India.

Mike Green, Foreign Policy
The president's Asia legacy is not worst in recent history. But it's not the best either.

David Blair, Daily Telegraph
If “core al-Qaeda” is a shadow of its former self, then the heavy toll inflicted by Predators and Reapers is a big part of the explanation.

Gartenstein-Ross & Barr, Hudson Inst.

Rather than withering away, al-Qaeda has turned IS's emergence into a strategic opportunity, pivoting off of IS's brutality and doubling down on a more low-profile and sustainable approach to growth. Al-Qaeda has quietly, and yet relatively rapidly, gained ground in conflict zones across the Middle East and North Africa, including Syria and Yemen, where the group has seized territory and embedded itself within local communities.