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Новости за 16.01.2020

Putin's New Plan to Hold Power Forever

Real Clear World 

Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg View

Russia’s real constitution is in Putin’s head. That’s where the missing details will come from, too.

Europe Relies on the Autocrats' Energy

Real Clear World 

Victor Davis Hanson, New York Post

Despite its cool green parties and ambitious wind and solar agendas, Europe remains by far the world’s largest importer of oil and natural gas. Oil output in the North Sea and off the coast of Norway is declining, and the European Union is quietly looking for fossil-fuel energy anywhere it can find it.

Player in Ukraine Affair Completes Break With Giuliani, Trump

Real Clear World 

Protess & Vogel, NYT

WASHINGTON — Lev Parnas, the Soviet-born businessman who played a central role in the campaign to pressure Ukraine to investigate political rivals of President Trump, completed his break with the White House on Wednesday, asserting for the first time in public that the president was fully aware of the efforts to dig up damaging information on his behalf.

Putin Plans to Steer Russia Beyond 2024. Can He Fix It?

Real Clear World 

Simon Saradzhyan, Russia Matters

Vladimir Putin appeared to have caught much of Russia’s ruling elite off guard when he fired the entire government on Jan. 15. With implementation of Putin’s much-prized national projects by the government introuble and

An Alliance to Save the Hemisphere

Real Clear World 

Roger Noriega, RealClearWorld

Transnational organized crime is dissolving borders and disrupting the institutions essential to peace and prosperity. It is urgent that the Western Hemisphere’s heavyweights, Brazil and the United States, launch a regional alliance to confront global criminal networks and regimes that profit from disorder.

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The President, Relationship With Intel, Soleimani Strike

Real Clear World 

Douglas London, Just Security

When it comes to intelligence, like with so much else, President Donald Trump likes big names. It’s this focus on celebrity, headlines, and immediate gratification — versus  substance, impact, and consequences — that so often motivates him. Partly because of this, as a senior CIA counterterrorist manager, my team and I often struggled in persuading the president to recognize the most important threats. Now, with the killing of Qassem Soleimani, I worry that while Trump got a big name and lots of headlines... Читать дальше...



What's Inside Phase One China-U.S. Deal?

Real Clear World 

Matthew Goodman, CSIS

On January 15, President Donald Trump and China’s Vice Premier Liu He held a long-anticipated ceremony in the East Room of the White House to sign a “Phase One” U.S.-China trade deal. The document, entitled “Economic and Trade Agreement Between the United States of America and the People’s Republic of China,” runs to 96 pages with eight chapters, covering...

How Autocrats Learned to Extend Their Reach

Real Clear World 

Walker, Ludwig & Kalathil, Jour. of Dem.

When it comes to the impact of authoritarian sharp power on the future of democracy, perhaps no other domain is as pivotal as that of technology. Technological interdependence has enabled modernizing authoritarians to reach across borders to censor and manipulate public discourse, sharpen polarization, and undermine democracy. From "safe-city" surveillance projects to state-linked disinformation campaigns on social-media platforms, authoritarians'... Читать дальше...

Interrupting Iran in the Middle of a Mistake

Real Clear World 

Patrick Cockburn, London Review of Books

For Trump, one advantage of Soleimani’s assassination is that the Iranians will be more cautious about launching limited attacks on the US and its allies, though this isn’t to say that they will cease altogether. Iran cannot permanently de-escalate as long as sanctions continue. The intensity and length of the crisis means that accid­ents are likely to happen, as demonstrat­ed by what appears to have been the un­intentional shooting down of a Ukrain­ian passenger plane. Читать дальше...

New Documents: Giuliani Associates May Have Surveilled US Ambassador

Real Clear World 

KP

Associates of Rudy Giuliani, the personal lawyer of U.S. President Donald J. Trump, conducted an extended campaign of surveillance against the former American ambassador to Ukraine, according to new evidence released on Jan. 14 as part of Trump’s impeachment.


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