Peter Zeihan, Zeihan on Geopolitics
Oil traders, the folks who probably have the best feel for just how much demand has dropped, estimate the global oversupply is now between 30mbpd and 35mbpd. Simply the reduction in demand for jet fuel is probably about 5mbpd. The OPEC cut is only for 5.6mbpd with another 2.9mbpd coming from non-OPEC members. Even if everyone plays along, this just isn’t enough to make a difference.
T. Wright & K. Campbell, Atlantic
Robert Knight, Washington Times
Difficult to pretend they're not captive to the Bernie/AOC wing of true believers.
Rym Momtaz, Politico EU
Hiva Feizi & Jason Brodsky, RFERL
Kathy Gilsinan, The Atlantic
Gideon Rachman, Financial Times
Two questions serve as a reality check on excessive American declinism.
Americas Quarterly
Omar Sattar, Al Monitor
BAGHDAD — The Islamic State (IS) is seeking to take advantage of Iraq's preoccupation with the coronavirus pandemic and the global coalition's suspension there of military operations against IS.
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Eswar Prasad & Ethan Wu, Brookings
The world economy is facing its most severe challenge of the postwar period. Economic activity, financial markets, and private sector confidence are all collapsing. The latest update of the Brookings-Financial Times Tiger index (Tracking Indexes for the Global Economic Recovery), based on the most recent available data and estimates of real-time data, shows the front end of this collapse and suggests that much worse is to come.
John Micklethwait & Adrian Wooldridge, BV
The job of government is to protect its citizens. The pandemic reveals that key institutions in Europe and the U.S. are no longer up to the job.
Dan Drezner, Foreign Policy
There are terrible parallels between the pandemic and the zombie apocalypse. But don’t despair—there is hope for humanity yet.
Emily de la Bruyere, National Interest
The twin trends of globalization and information technology were supposed to breed a new era of cooperation. Instead, they have created a new form of international competition. The game is no longer to seize the upper hand in conflict and deterrence or to have the most resources; it is to capture the systems of exchange: networks, standards, and platforms.
John Dalhuisen, Financial Times
A perfectly appropriate and entirely legal way of postponing the poll exists
Planes Tonchev, The Diplomat
Possible post-pandemic scenarios for China’s long-term foreign policy strategy.
John Keiger, Spectator
How will states perceive themselves and each other after the pandemic? This is not just a matter of narcissism; it is fundamental to international politics. Such 'soft power' is, as Joseph Nye argues, crucial to the clout of countries on the world stage; it allows them to convince rather than coerce in achieving their objectives. Whether it be the British model of democracy, French culture or good governance, these values complement a state’s hard power of armies, bombs and bullets. Читать дальше...
Fintan O'Toole, Guardian
Boris Johnson’s first response was at odds with the rest of the world. But this virus does not respect his delusions of national character.