Новости за 17.11.2020

Cas Mudde, Guardian

It’s time to start a critical self-assessment of our analyses and commentary of the past years. What held up and what didn’t?

Ben Caspit, Al Monitor

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is still hoping to squeeze last-minute favors from outgoing US President Donald Trump at the expense of his relationship with the incoming administration.

D. Green, Cons. Home

2020 has brought many words to the forefront of our conversations: pandemic, lockdown, mask. Suddenly “reset” has become the latest addition to the thesaurus of 2020, as politicians and commentators ponder the future of the Government in the post-Dominic Cummings era. Is Boris Johnson about to head out in a new direction, or would any deviation from the path of 2019 be a politically unwise heresy?

Cole Stangler, The Nation

Thirty-four-year old medical secretary Soumia Chohra calls her ground-floor apartment in Paris a “rathole”—which, she stresses, she means in the literal sense.

Michael Auslin, National Review

Whether due to the COVID-19 pandemic that began in Wuhan, China, or thanks to Beijing’s increasingly intimidating, if not aggressive, behavior in recent years, one of the more dramatic shifts in global opinion has started a long-overdue reconsideration of the liberal world’s relationship to the People’s Republic of China. In addition to a raft of high-level policy statements from the Trump administration, including the 2017 

Mark Leonard, ECFR

The era of Donald Trump has confronted Europe with hard truths that it should have recognised long ago. Even with a new, far more sympathetic US administration, it will be incumbent on Europe to come to the table as a co-equal power bearing solutions, rather than as a helpless child begging for protection and guidance

Craig Singleton, The Hill
Holding ourselves prisoner to frameworks built for a different era makes little sense. Instead, let's design structures capable of sustaining our country through this prolonged period of tension with China. Mr. Biden has an opportunity to do just that â?" a new approach is needed if he is to succeed.

Vivian Bercovici, Commentary

On the morning of August 7, Abu Muhammad al-Masri, reputed to be the second most powerful man in al-Qaeda, got into a parked sedan in central Tehran with his daughter Maryam, the widow of one of Osama bin Laden’s sons.

Stephen Bush, New Statesman

The needlessly combative style of Boris Johnson’s senior aide damaged any hope he had of delivering radical reforms.

Kemal Kirisci & Behlul Ozkan, Just Security

Can the pain and destruction, the losses and gains from the recently reignited war over Nagorno-Karabakh be turned into peace?

Gordon Chang, National Interest

But thankfully Kim Jong-un won't take the bait anyway. 

T. Rich & M. Einhorn, 38 North

The Moon Jae-in administration’s efforts at engagement with North Korea require public support. However, our original survey data suggests that public attention to North Korea may be lower than conventional wisdom would indicate, as less than 10 percent of respondents think of North Korea frequently. One interpretation of these findings would suggest Moon and the Democratic Party may have greater flexibility on engagement because South Korean people are... Читать дальше...

Shiro Armstrong, East Asia Forum

Prime Minister Scott Morrison’s visit to Japan today is no ordinary state visit. It’s the first international trip of the year for Mr Morrison and he becomes the first foreign leader to visit Japan’s new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga at home. They are expected to reach a defence agreement that entrenches an elevated strategic relationship. Alongside deepening bilateral ties, Australia and Japan have an opportunity to steer broader regional outcomes as they... Читать дальше...

Patricio Navia, Amer. Quart.

The absence of stable political parties is destabilizing democracies throughout Latin America.

Steven Cook, Foreign Affairs

Why the Middle East Still Matters to America

Hal Brands, AEI

Theories of international relations—and explanations of state behavior—rise and fall with the geopolitical tide. What we now call “realism” emerged during and after World War II. The events of the 1930s and 1940s had shown that the world was rough and lawless and created an opening for an intellectual paradigm that emphasized the primacy of power and the ruthlessness of geopolitics. The end of the Cold War, by contrast, dealt a sharp blow to realism, by seeming to shatter its core premise. Читать дальше...

Andrew Michta, Politico EU

Beijing is taking advantage of the coronavirus crisis to wage an ideological challenge to the West.