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Новости за 30.11.2020

Renewing the Transatlantic Bargain

Real Clear World 

Julien Barnes-Dacey et al, ECFR

The election of Joe Biden marks a new era in the transatlantic relationship – in upholding the liberal international order, America wants a Europe that is a sovereign partner, not a helpless dependent.

Could Scotland Make Another Run at Independence?

Real Clear World 

Salvatore Babones, 1945
Scotland is a drag on British politics and the treasury. Why not let Scotland go, and let its independent government learn to fend for itself?

New Lessons From the Great Pacific War

Real Clear World 

James Holmes, National Interest

From the author: "It’s hard to amass combat power when it’s needed, where it’s needed, without robust auxiliaries. It’s also hard to regenerate combat power after taking a blow in action. Such a contestant is brittle."

Central America Can't Wait for Help

Real Clear World 

Jason Marczak & María Fernanda Bozmoski, RCW

Central America was already struggling mightily under the weight of the pandemic. Back-to-back natural disasters may bring the region to the breaking point.

Why Poland Will Leave EU, and Why It Won't

Real Clear World 

Zosia Wanat & Jan Cienski, Politico EU

The recent Polish threat to veto the EU’s budget has ignited a discussion about the country’s future in the bloc.

Iran: Looking Beyond the Assassination

Real Clear World 

Anthony Cordesman, CSIS
Important as the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh may be, it is only one part of the story. Like the killing of Qassem Soleimani, it has a major political impact and makes it even harder for the United States to negotiate with Iran. At the same time, both the assassination and Iran's nuclear program need to be kept in a broader strategic context. How Far Has Iran Gotten

Why Was Iran's Top Nuclear Scientist Killed?

Real Clear World 

Barbara Slavin, New York Times

The assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh isn’t about stopping a bomb — it’s about preventing diplomacy. Joe Biden doesn’t have to let it work.

The Killing of Iran's Nuclear Mastermind

Real Clear World 

Najmeh Bozorgmehr & Mehul Srivastava, FT

The hit squad behind last week’s deadly attack on the man long thought to be the mastermind of Iran’s alleged military nuclear programme left nothing to chance.



Nagorno-Karabakh Settles In for Uncertainty

Real Clear World 

Christian Esch, Der Spiegel

Russian troops have arrived in Nagorno-Karabakh to keep the peace, but thousands of Armenians are having to flee the region. They are leaving nothing to the arriving Azerbaijanis – and it is unclear when normalcy might return.

Afghan Peace Prospects

Real Clear World 

Maleeha Lodhi, Dawn

WILL the peace process between Afghanistan’s warring parties be put at risk by the Pentagon’s recent announcementthat more US troops will be withdrawn ahead of schedule? Not really. Factors other than troop levels are more significant for the future of peace talks. In any case, troop levels have progressively been going down since the Doha agreement of February between the US and the Taliban. The drawdown of another 2,000 troops, planned by mid-January, will likely have... Читать дальше...

South Africa Is Running Out of Time

Real Clear World 

Branko Brkic, Daily Maverick

These days, Malema, Floyd and co are downright dangerous for the future of SA: in a country that’s been brutalised by almost a year of pandemic disruption, they are reliable thugs pulling the country towards a greater conflict.

Why Mohsen Fakhrizadeh Was Killed Now

Real Clear World 

David Patrikarakos, Spectator
Yesterday afternoon someone assassinated yet another scientist working on Iran's nuclear programme. Mohsen Fakhrizadeh headed up the ministry of defence's research and innovation organisation, and he was ambushed and killed in his car just east of Tehran, by gunmen who opened fire on him and his bod...

No End in Sight for Belarusian Political Crisis

Real Clear World 

Grigory Ioffe, Jamestown

The turbulent stalemate in Minsk continues, despite the fact that street protests have been subsiding and their full-scale resumption is not expected before March, as noted by, among others, Belarusian political commentator Artyom Shraibman (Current Time TV, November 20). By then, not only will the weather warm up but traditional dates marked by the opposition, like Liberty Day (March 25) and the Chernobyl Path (April 26), may themselves produce large protest crowds....

A Roadmap for Stabilizing Sino-American Relations

Real Clear World 

Minxin Pei, Project Syndicate

Given the current bipartisan US antipathy toward China, President-elect Joe Biden is unlikely to change the fundamental tenets of President Donald Trump’s hard-line policy. But if Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping each invest a modest amount of political capital, they may be able to de-escalate bilateral tensions.

China's New Ship on the South China Sea

Real Clear World 

M. Funaiole & J. Bermudez, Jr., CSIS

The first of China’s new Type 075 landing helicopter dock (LHD) appears to have recently embarked on a second round of sea trials—this time in the South China Sea. The amphibious assault vessel left Hudong–Zhonghua Shipyard in early October and remained in the Shanghai area for nearly three weeks before sailing south. Toward the end of October, the Type 075 arrived some 1,250 nautical miles away, near China’s southern coast. Satellite imagery captured... Читать дальше...

EU Pitches Alliance With U.S. to Face China Challenge

Real Clear World 

Sam Fleming et al, FT

The EU will call on the US to seize a “once-in-a-generation” opportunity to forge a new global alliance, in a detailed pitch to bury the tensions of the Trump era and meet the “strategic challenge” posed by China.


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