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Новости за 22.06.2021

Rethinking a Durable Counterterrorism

Real Clear World 

Matthew Levitt, JNSLP

Nearly twenty years have passed since al-Qaeda terrorists carried out the attacks of September 11, 2001.1 During that interval, the United States has built a counterterrorism bureaucracy to manage, resource, and operationalize the nation's intelligence, law enforcement, and military response to the threat posed by al-Qaeda in particular and terrorism more broadly. This counterterrorism enterprise has been remarkably successful from a tactical perspective, foiling attacks and disrupting terrorist networks. Читать дальше...

Xi's Gamble

Real Clear World 

Jude Blanchette, Foreign Affairs

The Race to Consolidate Power and Stave Off Disaster

Turkey's Ghosts of Nationalisms Past

Real Clear World 

James Robins, Newlines

Turkey's politics is beset by selective memory and a paradoxical sense of victimhood and superiority that has allowed its leaders and usurpers to position themselves as guardians of an embattled realm

U.S.-Russia: The New Normal Is the Old Normal

Real Clear World 

John McLaughlin, Ozy

Now that the summit between U.S. President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin is over, where does it leave U.S.-Russian relations? In a much better place in my view, and in a form that allows us to measure progress, or lack of it. During the last four years the relationship sunk to the lowest, and weirdest, level in decades. Yes, tensions with Putin have been on the rise since 2008, beginning with Russia's intervention in Georgia. Any normal discourse was simply frozen... Читать дальше...

U.S. Withdrawal From the Middle East

Real Clear World 

George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures

The United States is withdrawing air defense capabilities from several Arab countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and Jordan, with most of the withdrawals being from Saudi Arabia. According to the report, the withdrawal will include Patriot missiles, some fighter aircraft and other unspecified weapons. Saudi Arabia was informed on June 2, with the withdrawals already beginning and to be completed this summer.

Abiy Ahmed's Options After Election

Real Clear World 

Mohammed Girma, African Arguments

The Prime Minister's party is likely to consolidate power in today's elections. How he will use this power is less clear.

The PLA's Military Diplomacy Under COVID-19

Real Clear World 

Kenneth Allen, Jamestown

The People's Liberation Army (PLA) has been responsible for conducting military diplomacy since the founding of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949. In the 1950s, military cooperation was limited almost entirely to other communist nations and insurgent movements in Southeast Asia. In the late 1970s, the scope and tenor of China's foreign military cooperation changed with the shift to commercial arms sales, attempts to gain some influence in Eastern Europe... Читать дальше...

A State Department for the Digital Age

Real Clear World 

Ferial Ara Saeed, War on the Rocks

Carl Sagan was right. The renowned American scientist once warned that "we have arranged a society based on science and technology, in which nobody understands anything about science and technology." A case in point: the State Department's ongoing review of whether to keep cyber security and emerging...



Ortega Escalates Political Repression

Real Clear World 

Global Americans

Analysts and observers suggest that Ortega's recent crackdown—the most brazen offensive against Nicaragua's political opposition since government security forces were deployed to put down protests in 2018, killing hundreds of demonstrators—have the twin objectives of guaranteeing Ortega an easy path to remaining in power and gaining proverbial chips to be used in negotiations with the U.S. and other multilateral institutions to ease sanctions on the country and its ruling class. Читать дальше...

Winners and Losers of French Local Elections

Real Clear World 

Clea Caulcutt, Politico EU

The regional elections are a snapshot of voter mood as the country emerges from COVID-19 lockdown. So who is up and who is down?

Will I Return to China?

Real Clear World 

ChinaFile

In April, ChinaFile sent a short questionnaire to several hundred ChinaFile contributors to get a sense of their feelings about traveling to China once COVID-19 restrictions begin to ease. Media reports at the time had suggested, anecdotally, that foreigners with longstanding professional ties to China felt reluctant to visit, in part owing to the passage of Hong Kong's National Security Law, fear of detention, the recent

Understanding an Election Upset in the UK

Real Clear World 

Gavin Esler, The National

Prime Minister Boris Johnson, British newspapers are reporting, has suffered a "shock defeat" in a long-time Conservative-held seat in England and the "shock waves" are spreading through his entire political party. Well, possibly.

How China Broke the Asian Model

Real Clear World 

Gideon Rachman, Financial Times

Beijing has challenged the geopolitical order that enabled the rise of east Asia

France's Silent Majority Rejects Macron and Le Pen

Real Clear World 

Jonathan Miller, Spectator

popped down to the Salle du Peuple on Sunday to see how the voting was going in the departmental and regional elections. Although I'm no longer a municipal councillor - à cause de Brexit - and am no longer required to help invigilate the polling, I thought I'd take the temperature. Which was frosty.

Putin's Right: You Can't Escape the Dollar

Real Clear World 

Daniel Moss, Bloomberg

Countries like Russia and China chafe at the dollar's dominance, but there's little they can do other than posture and make relatively benign adjustments to their monetary arrangements. Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged as much recently, telling journalists that "we don't want to do away with it, because it's a universal currency." China's campaign to internationalize the yuan, which received backing from the International Monetary Fund in 2016, is going nowhere fast. Читать дальше...


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