Over the weekend there was a drumbeat of bad polling news for President Handsome Joe Biden and the Democrats, and by now you probably saw all or most of ‘em.
Some reflections:
The big CBS News poll was done entirely online and not even by phone. Online polls are garbage, by the way.
One poll showed a Biden collapse in young voters, others did not.
These polls tells us nothing about next year.
Polls are not predictive.
Republicans are currently running 2024 Goat Rodeo media campaigns; Democrats are not.
Remember 2022? Polls predicted a red wave in the 2022 midterms and it never happened.
Here’s the thing that is keeping me sane: elections are all about addition. Ask yourself —with all of Hair Füror’s antics— who is he adding to his roll of voters? We’ve noted many times his base is unshakable, but it is also his ceiling. He’s not adding any constituencies. And if he loses his court cases and is convicted in some number of his 91 criminal counts (which seems likely), he might lose some voters.
Guys, keep your nerves steady, and don’t wring your hands. Our Failed Political Press ™ wants a horse race and they will manufacture one if it kills all of us.
Филиал № 4 ОСФР по Москве и Московской области информирует:
Родители 240,5 тыс. детей в Московской области получают единое пособие
Обложка песни. Обложки альбомов песен. Сделать обложку для песни.
Филиал № 4 ОСФР по Москве и Московской области информирует:
За полгода 14,9 тысячи жителей Московского региона оформили страховую пенсию в автоматическом режиме на портале госуслуг
Отделение СФР по Москве и Московской области проактивно открыло свыше 32 тысяч СНИЛС новорожденным
Abstract factory game sequel Shapez 2 will release in August
Blizzard politely tells Hearthstone players their game isn't dead just because it's not getting a new cosmetic board this expansion
Activision secretly experimented on 50% of Call of Duty players by 'decreasing' skill-based matchmaking, and determined players like SBMM even if they don't know it
Co-op survival game Enshrouded now lets you make things way tougher, or way easier, with an update that adds more than 30 difficulty sliders
Отделение СФР по Москве и Московской области проактивно открыло свыше 32 тысяч СНИЛС новорожденным
Филиал № 4 ОСФР по Москве и Московской области информирует:
В Московском регионе свыше 11,3 тыс. неработающих родителей получают пособие по уходу за ребенком до 1,5 лет
Филиал № 4 ОСФР по Москве и Московской области информирует:
С 1 августа Соцфонд увеличит страховые пенсии россиян
Филиал № 4 ОСФР по Москве и Московской области информирует:
Пенсии работающих пенсионеров начнут индексироваться с 2025 года
